Penn State vs. Northwestern: College Football Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Penn State vs. Northwestern prediction for Friday, October 2, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Penn State
13
34
Ryan Field
Northwestern
Ryan Field
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penn State
    0%
  • Northwestern
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Penn State
0 7 0 6 13
Northwestern
10 14 7 3 34
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Northwestern
Penn State
4th and 12 at the NW 27
Last Play
A.Chiles kneels at the NW 27.

Penn State vs. Northwestern: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 5

  • Teams: Penn State vs. Northwestern
  • Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
  • Time: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Ryan Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Penn State (-3, -105), Northwestern (+3, -114)
  • Moneyline: Penn State -145, Northwestern +130
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points (-109/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Penn State: 54.0%
  • Northwestern: 46.0%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Penn State 24-23 Northwestern.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Penn State a win probability of 54.0%, while the Northwestern have a win probability of 46.0%.

Summary

Penn State faces off against Northwestern in college football action at Ryan Field on Friday, October 2, 2026.

Our Penn State vs. Northwestern predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.