Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Alabama vs. Mississippi State NCAAF game on October 3, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Alabama
Predicted score
33
:
27
Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Mississippi State
Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Alabama -6.0
Spread
  • Alabama
    50.6%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Mississippi State
    49.4%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alabama vs. Mississippi State
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Alabama favored at -6
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Alabama -220, Mississippi State +188

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alabama: 68%
  • Mississippi State: 32%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Alabama 33-27 Mississippi State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alabama a win probability of 68%, while Mississippi State has a win probability of 32%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Alabama is more likely to beat Mississippi State in CFB action at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Alabama vs. Mississippi State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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