Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Toledo vs. Ball State NCAAF game on October 3, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Toledo
Predicted score
35
:
17
Scheumann Stadium
Ball State
Scheumann Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Ball State +19.5
Spread
  • Toledo
    47.7%
    bet365bet365
  • Ball State
    52.3%
    FanDuelFanDuel

Toledo vs. Ball State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toledo vs. Ball State
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scheumann Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Toledo favored at -19.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Toledo -1300, Ball State +900

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toledo: 91%
  • Ball State: 9%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Toledo 35-17 Ball State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toledo a win probability of 91%, while Ball State has a win probability of 9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Toledo is more likely to beat Ball State in CFB action at Scheumann Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Toledo vs. Ball State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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