UTSA vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the UTSA vs. Texas State NCAAF game on September 12, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Add this game to My Favorites
Add this game to My Favorites
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
UTSA
Predicted score
30
:
31
UFCU Stadium
Texas State
UFCU Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

UTSA +1.5
Spread
  • UTSA
    50.0%
    theScore BettheScore Bet
  • Texas State
    50.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

UTSA vs. Texas State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: UTSA vs. Texas State
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UFCU Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Texas State favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 65.5
  • Moneyline Odds: UTSA +100, Texas State -114

Dimers' win probabilities

  • UTSA: 46%
  • Texas State: 54%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is UTSA 30-31 Texas State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives UTSA a win probability of 46%, while Texas State has a win probability of 54%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat UTSA in CFB action at UFCU Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our UTSA vs. Texas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college football player props and college football futures, as well as constantly updated college football odds and the latest college football news.