Fresno State vs. Southern California Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Fresno State vs. Southern California NCAAF game on September 4, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Fresno State
Predicted score
14
:
36
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Southern California
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Fresno State +22.5
Spread
  • Fresno State
    51.8%
    BetMGMBetMGM
  • Southern California
    50.0%
    theScore BettheScore Bet

Fresno State vs. Southern California: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Fresno State vs. Southern California
  • Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Southern California favored at -22.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Fresno State +1300, Southern California -2100

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Fresno State: 7%
  • Southern California: 93%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Fresno State 14-36 Southern California.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Fresno State a win probability of 7%, while Southern California has a win probability of 93%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Southern California is more likely to beat Fresno State in CFB action at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Fresno State vs. Southern California predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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