Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee NCAAF game on September 5, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Murray State
Predicted score
18
:
39
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Murray State +21.5
Spread
  • Murray State
    54.5%
    FanDuelFanDuel
  • Middle Tennessee
    45.5%
    FanDuelFanDuel

Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Middle Tennessee favored at -21.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Murray State +1000, Middle Tennessee -1800

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Murray State: 11%
  • Middle Tennessee: 89%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Murray State 18-39 Middle Tennessee.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Murray State a win probability of 11%, while Middle Tennessee has a win probability of 89%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Middle Tennessee is more likely to beat Murray State in CFB action at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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