Arkansas State vs. Memphis Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Arkansas State vs. Memphis NCAAF game on September 5, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
- Arkansas State
- Memphis
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas State | 3 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
Memphis | 0 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 42 |
Arkansas State vs. Memphis: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Arkansas State vs. Memphis
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Current betting odds
- Spread: Memphis favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 55.5
- Moneyline Odds: Arkansas State +360, Memphis -325
Dimers' win probabilities
- Arkansas State: 28%
- Memphis: 72%
Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Arkansas State 22-30 Memphis.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Arkansas State a win probability of 28%, while Memphis has a win probability of 72%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Memphis is more likely to beat Arkansas State in CFB action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Arkansas State vs. Memphis predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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