Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Missouri State a 71.4% chance of beating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 29-22. According to our model, Missouri State (-6.5) has a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under has a 53.2% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sam Houston State +6.5 (-120) / Missouri State -6.5 (+115)
• Moneyline: Sam Houston State +190, Missouri State -194
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-106/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Missouri State -6.5 @ 46¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Missouri State @ 66¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 50.5 @ -106 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Tuesday's college football action between Missouri State and Sam Houston State at Robert W. Plaster Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State
• Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

College football Week 9 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Sam Houston State vs. Missouri State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 71.4% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State in Tuesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.