Navy vs. UTSA prediction favors UTSA to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.9% win probability for UTSA at Alamodome.

Navy takes on UTSA in College Football action.
Navy vs. UTSA college football gameday prediction for Saturday, October 17, 2026.

UTSA will square off with Navy in Week 7 college football action at Alamodome on Saturday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects UTSA as the most likely winner in this Navy vs. UTSA prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Navy vs. UTSA prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Navy vs. UTSA, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives UTSA a 70.9% chance of defeating Navy. Our predicted final score has UTSA winning 30-24. According to our model, UTSA (-6.5) has a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 50.6% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Navy +6.5 (+102) / UTSA -6.5 (-118)
  • Moneyline: Navy +230, UTSA -258
  • Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-108/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Navy +6.5 @ +102 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: UTSA @ -258 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 54.5 @ -108 via FanDuel

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Navy +6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between UTSA and Navy at Alamodome is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Navy vs. UTSA
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
  • Venue: Alamodome

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Conclusion

We predict UTSA, with a 70.9% win probability, will likely beat Navy in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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