Marshall vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Marshall is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Marshall vs. Missouri State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Marshall a 58.8% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Marshall winning 27-25. According to our model, Missouri State (+4) has a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 52.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Marshall -4 (-110) / Missouri State +4 (-107)
• Moneyline: Marshall -182, Missouri State +160
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-114/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Missouri State +4 @ -107 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Missouri State @ +160 via bet365
• Total: Over 52.5 @ -114 via FanDuel

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State +4 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Missouri State and Marshall at Robert W. Plaster Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:30 PM ET.

• Who: Marshall vs. Missouri State
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

College football Week 3 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Marshall vs. Missouri State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Plus, check out the latest details on the current offer from Polymarket.

Conclusion

We predict Marshall, with a 58.8% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.