Lindenwood vs. Tennessee-Martin prediction: Why Lindenwood is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.7% win probability for Lindenwood at Hardy M. Graham Stadium.

Tennessee-Martin and Lindenwood will clash in Week 11 college football action at Hardy M. Graham Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model gives Lindenwood a slight edge with a 50.7% win probability over Tennessee-Martin.
This article offers a complete Lindenwood vs. Tennessee-Martin prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Lindenwood vs. Tennessee-Martin prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Lindenwood a 50.7% chance of defeating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Lindenwood winning 25-24. According to our model, Tennessee-Martin (+2.5) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 52.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Lindenwood -2.5 (-113) / Tennessee-Martin +2.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Lindenwood -125, Tennessee-Martin +127
- Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-102/-102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Tennessee-Martin +2.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Tennessee-Martin @ 44¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 49.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tennessee-Martin to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Tennessee-Martin and Lindenwood at Hardy M. Graham Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Lindenwood vs. Tennessee-Martin
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
- Venue: Hardy M. Graham Stadium
College football Week 11 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Lindenwood vs. Tennessee-Martin predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Lindenwood, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee-Martin in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



