FSU vs. Miami (FL) prediction: Why Miami Florida is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of FSU vs. Miami (FL), forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Miami Florida a 93.5% chance of defeating Florida State. Our predicted final score has Miami Florida winning 38-18. According to our model, Miami Florida (-20.5) has a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 56.5-point over/under has a 50.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: FSU +20.5 (-107) / Miami (FL) -20.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: FSU +1000, Miami (FL) -1600
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Miami Florida -20.5 @ -104 via bet365
• Moneyline: Miami Florida @ -1600 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 56.5 @ -108 via Caesars

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Miami Florida to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Miami (FL) and FSU at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Florida State vs. Miami Florida
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Miami Florida, with a 93.5% win probability, will likely beat Florida State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.