Colorado State vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Colorado State vs. Texas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Texas State a 90.4% chance of beating Colorado State. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 40-26. According to our model, Texas State (-14.5) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 71-point over/under has a 54.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Colorado State +14.5 (-108) / Texas State -14.5 (-103)
• Moneyline: Colorado State +510, Texas State -625
• Total: Over/Under 71 (-112/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas State -14.5 @ -103 via bet365
• Moneyline: Texas State @ -625 via Caesars
• Total: Under 71 @ -108 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 71 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Thursday's college football action between Texas State and Colorado State at UFCU Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado State vs. Texas State
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: UFCU Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 90.4% win probability, will likely beat Colorado State in Thursday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.