Ball State vs. Bowling Green prediction favors Bowling Green to win Week 7 MACtion clash

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Ball State vs. Bowling Green, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Bowling Green a 68.8% chance of defeating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Bowling Green winning 27-20. According to our model, Bowling Green (-6) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 52.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Ball State +6 (-108) / Bowling Green -6 (-109)
• Moneyline: Ball State +200, Bowling Green -235
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-108/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bowling Green -6 @ -109 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Bowling Green @ -235 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 46.5 @ -108 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Bowling Green and Ball State at Doyt L. Perry Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ball State vs. Bowling Green
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Bowling Green, with a 68.8% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.