USC vs. California Prediction, Picks & Odds
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- USC
- California
USC vs. California prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Wednesday
- Teams: USC vs. California
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Tip-off: 11:00PM ET
- Venue: Haas Pavilion
Current betting odds
- Spread: USC (-8.5, -104), California (+8.5, -105)
- Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points (-115/-105)
- Moneyline: USC -325, California +290
Dimers’ win probabilities
- USC: 78.0%
- California: 22.0%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as USC 84 and California 75.
This is a margin of 9 points against a spread of 8.5, and a projected total of 159 points against a market line of 161.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives USC a win probability of 78.0%, while California has a win probability of 22.0%.
Summary
According to our analysis, USC is more likely to beat California in the men's college basketball game at Haas Pavilion on Wednesday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our USC vs. California predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.