Sam Houston State vs. Illinois prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026

Illinois is favored to beat Sam Houston State at State Farm Center on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Sam Houston State vs. Illinois prediction gives the Bearkats a 99.0% chance of coming out on top, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 170.5 points.

Sam Houston State vs. Illinois key predictions

• Predicted score: Illinois 96-64 Sam Houston State
• Illinois win probability: 99.0%
• Sam Houston State win probability: 1.0%
• Sam Houston State +35.5 spread: 55.0% cover probability
• Under 170.5 points: 55.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Sam Houston State vs. Illinois odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• Sam Houston State moneyline: +8000 (FanDuel)
• Illinois moneyline: -100000 (FanDuel)
• Sam Houston State +35.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Illinois -35.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• Over 170.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)
• Under 170.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Sam Houston State vs. Illinois pick: Under 170.5 (-110)

Our model makes Illinois the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 170.5 total points at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 55.3%.

That's a 2.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Sam Houston State vs. Illinois game details

• Matchup: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: State Farm Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.