Pittsburgh vs. Penn State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

Pittsburgh is favored to beat Penn State at The Palestra on Sunday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Pittsburgh vs. Penn State prediction gives the Panthers a 58.4% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 153.5 points.

Pittsburgh vs. Penn State key predictions

• Predicted score: Pittsburgh 76-74 Penn State
• Pittsburgh win probability: 58.4%
• Penn State win probability: 41.6%
• Penn State +2.5 spread: 50.8% cover probability
• Under 153.5 points: 52.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Pittsburgh vs. Penn State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Pittsburgh moneyline: -142 (DraftKings)
• Penn State moneyline: +123 (BetRivers)
• Pittsburgh -2.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Penn State +2.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 153.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 153.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Pittsburgh vs. Penn State pick: Under 153.5 (-105)

Our model makes Pittsburgh the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 153.5 total points at -105 on FanDuel.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 52.7%.

That's a 1.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Pittsburgh vs. Penn State game details

• Matchup: Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: The Palestra

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.