Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

New Mexico is favored to beat Northern Arizona at The Pit on Saturday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico prediction gives the Lumberjacks a 98.4% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Northern Arizona to cover at +27.5.

Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico key predictions

• Predicted score: New Mexico 92-64 Northern Arizona
• New Mexico win probability: 98.4%
• Northern Arizona win probability: 1.6%
• Northern Arizona +27.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Under 157.5 points: 50.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Northern Arizona moneyline: +5500 (FanDuel)
• New Mexico moneyline: -20000 (DraftKings)
• Northern Arizona +27.5: -108 (BetRivers)
• New Mexico -27.5: -115 (BetRivers)
• Over 157.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 157.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico pick: Northern Arizona +27.5 (-108)

Our model makes New Mexico the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Lobos to cover the +27.5 spread at -108 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Northern Arizona an implied cover probability of 51.9%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.

That's a 0.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Northern Arizona vs. New Mexico game details

• Matchup: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. New Mexico Lobos
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: The Pit

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.