Dixie State vs. Navy prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Navy is favored to beat Dixie State at Navy Alumni Hall on Thursday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Dixie State vs. Navy prediction gives Navy an 80.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Dixie State to cover at +9.5.

Dixie State vs. Navy key predictions

• Predicted score: Navy 73-64 Dixie State
• Navy win probability: 80.2%
• Dixie State win probability: 19.8%
• Dixie State +9.5 spread: 54.7% cover probability
• Under 138.5 points: 50.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Dixie State vs. Navy odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Dixie State moneyline: +340 (BetRivers)
• Navy moneyline: -395 (DraftKings)
• Dixie State +9.5: -115 (BetMGM)
• Navy -9.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 138.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 138.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Dixie State vs. Navy pick: Dixie State +9.5 (-115)

Our model makes Navy the likelier winner, but our best value bet is Dixie State to cover the +9.5 spread at -115 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Dixie State an implied cover probability of 53.5%, while our model puts it at 54.7%.

That's a 1.3% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Dixie State vs. Navy game details

• Matchup: Dixie State vs. Navy Midshipmen
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Navy Alumni Hall

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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