Tennis- Predictions
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Rafael Jodar Prediction, Picks and Odds

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Match Overview
- Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Rafael Jodar
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Matteo Arnaldi +285, Rafael Jodar -311
- First Set Odds: Matteo Arnaldi +220, Rafael Jodar -278
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Matteo Arnaldi: 23.3%
- Rafael Jodar: 76.7%
Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Matteo Arnaldi a win probability of 23%, while Rafael Jodar has a win probability of 77%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Rafael Jodar is more likely to beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.
Our Matteo Arnaldi vs. Rafael Jodar predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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