Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: NHL Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
vs.
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Canadiens
    52.1%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Maple Leafs
    47.9%
    CaesarsCaesars
Player Props
Canadiens
Probability
  • Cole Caufield
    41.1%
  • Nick Suzuki
    28.7%
  • Juraj Slafkovsky
    27.0%
  • Chris Kreider
  • Alex Newhook
Maple Leafs
Probability
  • Auston Matthews
    35.5%
  • William Nylander
    32.8%
  • John Tavares
    28.6%
  • Kirill Marchenko
  • Jack Roslovic

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NHL Tuesday

  • Teams: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Canadiens (+1.5, -250), Maple Leafs (-1.5, +220)
  • Moneyline: Canadiens -102, Maple Leafs -105
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Canadiens: 52.1%
  • Maple Leafs: 47.9%

Dimers' predictive NHL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 52.1%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 47.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best puck line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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