Lightning vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Lightning
- Rangers
- Nikita Kucherov38.9%
- Brandon Hagel38.9%
- Jake Guentzel34.6%
- Brayden Point
- Anthony Cirelli
- Pavel Dorofeyev31.9%
- Mika Zibanejad30.4%
- Alexis Lafreniere28.4%
- J.T. Miller
- Gabe Perreault
Lightning vs. Rangers prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Tuesday
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Rangers Rangers
- Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:15PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Lightning (-1.5, +155), Rangers (+1.5, -170)
- Moneyline: Lightning -162, Rangers +140
- Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-106/-109)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Lightning: 56.4%
- Rangers: 43.5%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Lightning vs. Rangers player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 40.6%
- Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 38.5%
- Pavel Dorofeyev, Rangers: 31.6%
- Mika Zibanejad, Rangers: 30.8%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 56.4%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 43.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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