Loading...

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on December 8, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
See Full Schedule
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL
Lightning
0
2
Dec 9, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Dec 9, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 0 0
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 0 0
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:35 William Nylander shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 18:27 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 17:25 Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:53 Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 15:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:32 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by John Tavares
P3 14:01 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:50 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 13:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Finley saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 11:59 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 11:47 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:01 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:24 Max Domi shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 10:08 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 09:53 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 07:09 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 06:56 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 06:24 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Easton Cowan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:59
Jack Finley won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P3 19:16
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 19:16
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:09
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 19:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:43
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 18:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:35
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 18:32
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:32
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 18:32
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 17:51
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 17:51
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:27
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 17:27
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 17:22
Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 17:18
Giveaway by Jonas Johansson in defensive zone
P3 16:20
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 15:53
SHOT
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 15:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:03
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 15:03
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Hooking
P3 14:32
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by John Tavares
P3 14:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 13:40
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P3 13:38
Nick Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 13:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Finley saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 12:01
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 12:01
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 11:59
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 11:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:11
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P3 11:11
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 11:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:32
Lightning won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 10:26
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 10:26
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 10:24
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 10:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 09:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 07:56
Takeaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P3 07:22
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P3 07:09
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 06:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 06:24
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P3 06:06
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 06:06
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 05:55
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 04:45
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 04:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:07
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 04:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 03:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:43
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 03:43
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:45
Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
P3 02:10
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 01:43
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 01:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 01:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 00:45
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 00:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 00:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:43
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 18:03
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P2 18:03
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 17:59
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 17:59
Lightning won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 17:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 17:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Mermis saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 17:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P2 17:04
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
P2 16:17
Takeaway by Troy Stecher in defensive zone
P2 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 15:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 14:06
Nick Paul won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P2 14:06
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:57
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 13:02
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P2 12:54
SHOT
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P2 12:25
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 11:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 11:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 10:45
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 10:45
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 10:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 10:09
Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P2 10:00
Bobby McMann won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 10:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 09:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 09:08
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 08:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 08:39
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 08:39
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 07:58
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Easton Cowan in offensive zone
P2 07:53
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:44
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 07:24
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P2 07:24
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:12
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 07:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P2 06:59
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 06:59
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:20
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by teammate
P2 06:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P2 06:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 05:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 05:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P2 04:56
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
P2 03:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 03:00
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 02:56
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 02:43
Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 02:37
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 02:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 02:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 01:50
Nick Paul credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
P2 01:25
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 01:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 01:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 00:30
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 00:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:35
Jack Finley won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 19:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 19:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P1 19:23
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 18:28
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P1 18:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 17:42
Nick Paul won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 17:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 17:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P1 17:33
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 16:55
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P1 16:47
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P1 16:27
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 16:26
John Tavares won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 16:26
Lightning won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
P1 16:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P1 15:14
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 14:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 14:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 14:09
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
P1 14:09
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 12:57
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P1 12:27
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 12:02
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 12:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 11:58
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 11:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 11:33
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 11:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 11:30
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 11:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:27
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 11:26
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
P1 10:58
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P1 10:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 10:21
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Easton Cowan in neutral zone
P1 09:28
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 09:26
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 09:26
Penalty to Jack Finley 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson)
P1 09:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 08:53
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
P1 08:09
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P1 07:53
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P1 07:46
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 07:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 07:44
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 07:40
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 07:32
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 07:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 07:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 07:22
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
P1 07:08
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P1 06:43
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 06:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 06:38
John Tavares won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 06:38
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:28
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 06:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 05:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 05:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 04:38
Lightning won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
P1 04:38
Stoppage - Icing
P1 04:31
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P1 04:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P1 04:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 04:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 03:39
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P1 03:36
Nick Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 03:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 03:30
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P1 03:16
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 03:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 02:38
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P1 02:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 01:27
Nick Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 01:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:55
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 00:55
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Maple Leafs
29Shots on Goal24
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
24Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits20
8Shots Blocked14
19Giveaways10
LightningTB
Maple LeafsTOR
29Shots on Goal24
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
24Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits20
8Shots Blocked14
19Giveaways10

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
Loading...

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Monday, December 8, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -125, Maple Leafs +110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 53%
  • Maple Leafs: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 53%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
...
Read Article
US Legal Betting
Sportsbook Promo Codes
Upcoming Games
Loading...