Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Penguins NHL game on November 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
7
2
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2 3 2 7
Penguins
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Penguins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2 3 2 7
Penguins
1 0 1 2
P3 19:46 Shot missed by Ryan Graves
P3 19:41 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 19:17 Shot missed by Ryan Graves
P3 18:52 Ryan Graves shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P3 18:42 Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 17:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 16:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 15:54 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 14:02 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:39 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
P3 13:16 Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson
P3 12:57 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:42 Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 12:34 Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P3 12:30 Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 11:21 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 11:16 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 11:05 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Graves
  3. P3 19:41
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  4. P3 19:28
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Graves
  7. P3 18:52
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  8. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Dennis Hildeby
  9. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Dennis Hildeby
  10. P3 16:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dennis Hildeby
  11. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  12. P3 16:29
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:29
    Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Misconduct
  14. P3 15:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  15. P3 15:01
    Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
  16. P3 14:43
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  17. P3 14:40
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Ryan Graves in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:28
    Takeaway by Philippe Myers in neutral zone
  19. P3 14:18
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  20. P3 14:18
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  21. P3 14:18
    Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Misconduct
  22. P3 14:18
    Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Misconduct
  23. P3 14:18
    Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Misconduct
  24. P3 14:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Dennis Hildeby
  25. P3 13:39
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
  26. P3 13:16
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  27. P3 13:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson
    7-2
  28. P3 13:13
    Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
  29. P3 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
  30. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dennis Hildeby
  31. P3 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philippe Myers
  32. P3 12:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  33. P3 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
  34. P3 12:03
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  35. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  36. P3 12:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  37. P3 11:56
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  38. P3 11:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  39. P3 11:29
    Giveaway by Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
  40. P3 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  41. P3 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  42. P3 11:05
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  43. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  44. P3 10:43
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
  45. P3 10:40
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  46. P3 10:40
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  47. P3 10:37
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  48. P3 10:34
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  49. P3 10:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dennis Hildeby
  51. P3 10:14
    John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  52. P3 10:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  53. P3 10:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
  54. P3 09:59
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  55. P3 09:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  56. P3 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  57. P3 09:51
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  58. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  59. P3 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  60. P3 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Dennis Hildeby
  61. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Danton Heinen
  62. P3 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Dennis Hildeby
  63. P3 07:56
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by teammate
  64. P3 07:30
    John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  65. P3 07:30
    Stoppage - Offside
  66. P3 07:14
    John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  67. P3 07:14
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Auston Matthews
    6-2
  68. P3 06:37
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  69. P3 06:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  70. P3 06:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  71. P3 06:23
    Kris Letang credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
  72. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Easton Cowan
  73. P3 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  74. P3 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  75. P3 05:06
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  76. P3 05:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  77. P3 05:02
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  78. P3 04:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  79. P3 04:37
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  80. P3 04:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
    5-2
  81. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by teammate
  82. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Max Domi
  83. P3 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Dennis Hildeby
  84. P3 03:19
    Giveaway by Dakota Mermis in defensive zone
  85. P3 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Dennis Hildeby
  86. P3 03:00
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  87. P3 02:45
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  88. P3 02:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  89. P3 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
  90. P3 02:42
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
  91. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  92. P3 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Tristan Jarry
  93. P3 01:50
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Kris Letang in neutral zone
  94. P3 01:44
    SHOT
    Mathew Dumba shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  95. P3 00:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
  96. P3 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  97. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  98. P2 19:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  99. P2 19:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  100. P2 18:57
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  101. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Tristan Jarry
  102. P2 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Tristan Jarry
  103. P2 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Dennis Hildeby
  104. P2 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Dumba
  105. P2 18:16
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  106. P2 18:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  107. P2 18:03
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  108. P2 18:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  109. P2 17:49
    Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
  110. P2 17:06
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  111. P2 17:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  112. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  113. P2 16:30
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
  114. P2 16:22
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
  115. P2 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  116. P2 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  117. P2 15:15
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  118. P2 14:47
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  119. P2 14:46
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  120. P2 14:46
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  121. P2 14:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  122. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Mathew Dumba
  123. P2 14:24
    Danton Heinen credited with hit on Troy Stecher in defensive zone
  124. P2 14:13
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  125. P2 14:13
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  126. P2 13:58
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  127. P2 13:58
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Nicolas Roy
    5-1
  128. P2 13:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Tristan Jarry
  129. P2 13:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  130. P2 13:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
  131. P2 12:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
  132. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
  133. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
  134. P2 12:05
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  135. P2 12:05
    Penalty to Parker Wotherspoon 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Matthew Knies)
  136. P2 12:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Tristan Jarry
  138. P2 11:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  139. P2 11:49
    Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  140. P2 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  141. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
  142. P2 11:24
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  143. P2 11:18
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  144. P2 11:03
    Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
  145. P2 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  146. P2 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  147. P2 10:43
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  148. P2 10:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  149. P2 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Dennis Hildeby
  150. P2 09:57
    John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  151. P2 09:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  152. P2 09:53
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  153. P2 08:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dennis Hildeby
  154. P2 08:22
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  155. P2 08:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  156. P2 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dennis Hildeby
  157. P2 07:27
    Ryan Shea credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  158. P2 07:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dennis Hildeby
  159. P2 06:24
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  160. P2 06:24
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  161. P2 06:10
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  162. P2 06:07
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  163. P2 05:59
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  164. P2 04:53
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  165. P2 04:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Arturs Silovs
  166. P2 04:49
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Kris Letang
  167. P2 04:11
    SHOT
    Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
  168. P2 03:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dennis Hildeby
  169. P2 03:36
    John Tavares won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  170. P2 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  171. P2 02:59
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  172. P2 02:59
    Stoppage
  173. P2 02:49
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  174. P2 02:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  175. P2 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Dennis Hildeby
  176. P2 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  177. P2 02:24
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  178. P2 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Arturs Silovs
  179. P2 02:21
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mathew Dumba
  180. P2 02:07
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  181. P2 02:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  182. P2 01:59
    SHOT
    Danton Heinen shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  183. P2 01:49
    Takeaway by Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  184. P2 00:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dennis Hildeby
  185. P2 00:37
    SHOT
    Penguins shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  186. P2 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  187. P2 00:17
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  188. P2 00:17
    Stoppage - Offside
  189. P2 00:00
    Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  190. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  191. P1 20:00
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  192. P1 19:32
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Dennis Hildeby
  193. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Arturs Silovs
  194. P1 19:04
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  195. P1 19:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  196. P1 19:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Arturs Silovs
  197. P1 18:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Arturs Silovs
  198. P1 18:12
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  199. P1 18:12
    Penalty to Connor Dewar 2 minutes for Hooking
  200. P1 17:47
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  201. P1 16:33
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  202. P1 16:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  203. P1 16:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  204. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Dennis Hildeby
  205. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Scott Laughton
  206. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Dennis Hildeby
  207. P1 15:26
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  208. P1 15:26
    Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Hooking
  209. P1 15:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  210. P1 15:16
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  211. P1 15:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Danton Heinen
  212. P1 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  213. P1 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philippe Myers
  214. P1 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  215. P1 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Dennis Hildeby
  216. P1 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  217. P1 13:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  218. P1 12:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  219. P1 12:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  220. P1 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Graves
  221. P1 11:06
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Danton Heinen in neutral zone
  222. P1 11:04
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  223. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Arturs Silovs
  224. P1 10:43
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  225. P1 10:43
    Stoppage
  226. P1 10:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  227. P1 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  228. P1 10:20
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
  229. P1 10:02
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  230. P1 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Arturs Silovs
  231. P1 09:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  232. P1 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  233. P1 08:14
    John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  234. P1 08:14
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Penguins
    1-1
  235. P1 08:06
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  236. P1 08:06
    Penalty to Dakota Mermis 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
  237. P1 07:26
    SHOT
    Mathew Dumba shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  238. P1 06:46
    John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  239. P1 06:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
    1-0
  240. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  241. P1 05:12
    Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
  242. P1 05:07
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  243. P1 05:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  244. P1 05:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  245. P1 05:02
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  246. P1 05:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  247. P1 04:49
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
  248. P1 04:47
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  249. P1 04:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  250. P1 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  251. P1 04:27
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  252. P1 04:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  253. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
  254. P1 02:41
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  255. P1 02:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  256. P1 02:04
    Giveaway by Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
  257. P1 02:02
    Giveaway by Mathew Dumba in defensive zone
  258. P1 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Dumba
  259. P1 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  260. P1 00:54
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  261. P1 00:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  262. P1 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  263. P1 00:22
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  264. P1 00:20
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  265. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Penguins
23Shots on Goal35
55% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins10
19Hits16
26 Shots Blocked 11
19Giveaways11
Maple LeafsTOR
PenguinsPIT
23Shots on Goal35
55% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins10
19Hits16
26 Shots Blocked 11
19Giveaways11

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -105, Penguins -107

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 49%
  • Penguins: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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