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Sabres vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Penguins NHL game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Sabres
2
4
Nov 27, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
Nov 27, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Sabres
0022
Penguins
1034
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SabresBUF
Win %
0%
100%
PenguinsPIT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
0022
Penguins
1034
P3 19:56 Josh Dunne shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 19:20 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:02 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 18:53 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 18:18 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 16:49 Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 16:22 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 16:00 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 15:55 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:40 Goal scored by Jack Quinn
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 15:30 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:45 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
P3 14:40 Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:11 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 13:06 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:51 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:56
SHOT
Josh Dunne shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 19:20
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:02
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 19:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 18:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 18:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 16:58
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P3 16:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 16:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 16:04
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
P3 16:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 15:57
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P3 15:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 15:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:42
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 15:40
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn
2-3
P3 15:33
Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
P3 15:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 15:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:55
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 14:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:45
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
P3 14:44
Takeaway by Zach Benson in offensive zone
P3 14:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 13:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:51
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 12:34
Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Tristan Broz in neutral zone
P3 11:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joona Koppanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 10:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 10:08
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P3 10:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 09:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 08:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 08:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 08:12
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
P3 08:06
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 07:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 07:51
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P3 07:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Bryan Rust
1-2
P3 07:46
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 07:42
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 07:20
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P3 07:20
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Ryan McLeod and Bowen Byram
1-1
P3 07:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 07:05
Tristan Broz won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 07:05
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:34
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 06:00
Giveaway by Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
P3 05:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 05:15
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:17
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 04:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 03:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Dunne saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 02:56
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Tristan Broz in neutral zone
P3 02:56
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P3 02:47
Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
P3 02:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:47
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P3 01:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:44
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 01:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:18
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
P3 01:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 00:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 00:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 00:24
Tage Thompson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
P3 00:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 00:00
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P2 18:55
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 18:33
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P2 18:32
Alex Tuch credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
P2 18:30
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 18:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:01
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 18:01
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:53
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 17:27
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 17:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 16:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 16:53
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 16:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 16:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 15:44
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P2 15:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 15:04
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 14:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 14:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 13:55
Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 13:36
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
P2 13:34
Giveaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
P2 13:06
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P2 13:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 12:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
P2 12:27
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
P2 12:13
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Tristan Broz in defensive zone
P2 12:13
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 12:11
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 11:23
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P2 11:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P2 10:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 10:34
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 10:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 10:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joona Koppanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 09:47
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
P2 09:47
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:20
SHOT
Ryan Graves shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P2 09:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Dumba
P2 08:36
Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
P2 08:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 08:07
Takeaway by Mathew Dumba in defensive zone
P2 07:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 06:47
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 06:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tristan Broz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 05:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 05:36
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 05:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P2 03:35
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
P2 03:01
Giveaway by Danton Heinen in offensive zone
P2 02:45
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P2 02:18
Owen Power credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 01:44
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Tristan Broz in defensive zone
P2 01:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tristan Broz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 01:40
Tristan Broz won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 01:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:07
Takeaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
P1 18:39
Takeaway by Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 18:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P1 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 17:33
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P1 17:33
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:24
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P1 17:09
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P1 17:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Dumba saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 16:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P1 16:19
Giveaway by Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P1 15:55
Giveaway by Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
P1 14:50
SHOT
Mathew Dumba shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 14:27
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P1 14:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:46
Takeaway by Mathew Dumba in neutral zone
P1 10:59
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 10:59
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 10:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 10:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P1 10:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 09:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 08:57
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 08:57
Penalty to Conor Timmins 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 08:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P1 08:32
Giveaway by Zach Benson in offensive zone
P1 08:19
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 08:19
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 07:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 07:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P1 05:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P1 05:42
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 05:42
Stoppage - Offside
P1 05:12
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P1 05:12
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:42
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
P1 04:42
Giveaway by Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P1 04:37
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P1 04:02
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P1 04:01
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
P1 03:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P1 03:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 01:28
Mathew Dumba credited with hit on Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 00:37
Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
 STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal19
42%Faceoff Win %58%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
21Hits17
15Shots Blocked10
15Giveaways14
SabresBUF
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal19
42%Faceoff Win %58%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
21Hits17
15Shots Blocked10
15Giveaways14

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Sabres vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Penguins
  • Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +100, Penguins -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 47%
  • Penguins: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 47%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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