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Oilers vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Lightning NHL game on November 20, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
1
2
Nov 21, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Nov 21, 12:30AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
10001
Lightning
00112
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
0%
100%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
10001
Lightning
00112
OT1 01:43 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:32 Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:47 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
OT1 00:20 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 18:19 Jack Roslovic shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 18:06 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 17:27 Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by J.J. Moser and Emil Lilleberg
P3 17:10 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 15:38 Shot missed by Alec Regula
P3 15:27 Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:15 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 14:43 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 14:19 Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 13:56 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 12:59 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 12:34 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:07 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:49 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 11:17 Shot missed by Matt Savoie
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 01:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
1-2
OT1 01:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
OT1 00:20
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by J.J. Moser
OT1 00:00
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:50
Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P3 18:19
SHOT
Jack Roslovic shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 18:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 17:28
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P3 17:28
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 17:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by J.J. Moser and Emil Lilleberg
1-1
P3 17:14
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 17:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 16:13
Brayden Point won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 16:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 15:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Alec Regula
P3 15:29
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 15:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 15:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 14:46
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 14:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 14:43
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 14:37
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 14:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:19
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 13:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 12:59
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 12:57
Takeaway by Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 12:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 11:18
Steven Santini credited with hit on Matt Savoie in defensive zone
P3 11:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 10:56
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 10:56
Stoppage - Offside
P3 10:44
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 10:14
Takeaway by Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P3 10:05
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 10:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 10:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 09:59
David Tomasek won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 09:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:58
SHOT
Shot missed by David Tomasek
P3 09:46
David Tomasek won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 09:46
Stoppage - Offside
P3 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 09:03
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
P3 09:03
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 08:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 07:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 07:53
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:37
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 07:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 07:29
Evan Bouchard credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P3 06:57
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P3 06:57
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 06:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 06:30
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 05:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:58
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P3 03:53
SHOT
Oilers shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:38
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 02:03
David Tomasek won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 02:03
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:38
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 01:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 00:52
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 00:41
Brayden Point won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in offensive zone
P3 00:41
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P3 00:39
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Alec Regula
P3 00:37
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 00:37
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P3 00:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 00:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 00:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 00:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 00:00
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P2 19:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 18:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:27
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P2 18:02
Giveaway by Declan Carlile in neutral zone
P2 17:57
Brayden Point won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P2 17:57
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:11
Power play - Takeaway by Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
P2 17:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Adam Henrique
P2 16:21
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P2 16:10
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
P2 15:46
Power play - Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
P2 15:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P2 15:36
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 15:36
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Zach Hyman)
P2 15:06
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 14:54
Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
P2 14:49
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 14:49
Stoppage
P2 14:47
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Jake Walman
P2 14:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 14:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 14:06
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 14:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 13:40
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 13:38
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 13:38
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:35
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:42
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P2 12:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P2 12:08
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jake Walman in offensive zone
P2 12:04
Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P2 12:01
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 11:32
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 11:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 11:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 11:09
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 11:00
Power play - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P2 09:49
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P2 09:48
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 09:28
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 08:56
Mattias Janmark credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 07:51
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
P2 07:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Alec Regula
P2 07:32
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 07:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:24
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 06:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:42
Nick Paul won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 06:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:34
SHOT
Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 06:04
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Andrew Mangiapane in defensive zone
P2 05:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P2 05:39
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 05:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:27
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P2 05:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 05:10
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 05:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 04:51
Jack Roslovic credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 04:42
Nick Paul won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 04:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:25
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
P2 04:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:23
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
P2 03:38
Nick Paul credited with hit on David Tomasek in neutral zone
P2 03:31
Brayden Point won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P2 03:31
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 02:36
Dominic James won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 02:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:56
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P2 01:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 01:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 00:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:59
Penalty to Alec Regula 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
P1 19:54
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P1 19:46
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by teammate
P1 19:26
Nick Paul won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P1 19:26
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:14
Takeaway by Matt Savoie in offensive zone
P1 18:27
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P1 18:11
Brayden Point won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 18:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:31
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P1 17:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:56
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 16:56
Stoppage - Offside
P1 16:38
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P1 16:38
Stoppage - Offside
P1 16:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P1 15:31
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 15:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:58
Power play - Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 14:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:38
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 13:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 13:01
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P1 13:01
Stoppage - Offside
P1 12:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 12:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
P1 11:14
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 10:53
Nick Paul won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 10:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P1 10:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 09:08
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P1 09:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:04
SHOT
David Tomasek shot blocked by Steven Santini
P1 08:52
Dominic James won faceoff against David Tomasek in defensive zone
P1 08:52
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 08:48
Dominic James won faceoff against David Tomasek in defensive zone
P1 08:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 08:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 08:01
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 08:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:19
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 07:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:15
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P1 07:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 06:57
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 06:36
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P1 06:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 05:38
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
P1 05:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P1 03:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 03:39
SHOT
Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by teammate
P1 03:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:47
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 02:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:13
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 02:13
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 02:11
SHOT
Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Steven Santini
P1 01:32
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P1 01:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Trent Frederic
P1 01:29
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
P1 01:04
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
P1 00:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
 STATS
Lightning
25Shots on Goal35
57%Faceoff Win %43%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
21Penalty Infraction Mins9
17Hits29
10Shots Blocked19
14Giveaways17
OilersEDM
LightningTB
25Shots on Goal35
57%Faceoff Win %43%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
21Penalty Infraction Mins9
17Hits29
10Shots Blocked19
14Giveaways17

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Oilers vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers +143, Lightning -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 41%
  • Lightning: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 41%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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