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Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Lightning NHL game on November 8, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Nov 9, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
Nov 9, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
P3 19:45 Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel (Empty Net)
P3 18:49 Shorthanded - Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 18:47 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:34 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:34 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Capitals
P3 18:29 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:14 John Carlson shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 17:33 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 16:12 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 15:03 Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:52 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:30 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:41 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:48 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:15 John Carlson shot blocked by Jack Finley
P3 09:10 Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 08:42 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Dominic James
P3 07:10 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Capitals challenge (Offside), call reversed
Stoppage - Chlg Vis - off-side
Penalty to Tom Wilson 10 minutes for Misconduct
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel (Empty Net)
2-4
Shorthanded - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to John Carlson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Victor Hedman)
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Cross Checking
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Slashing
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Logan Thompson
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Tom Wilson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Jack Finley
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Dominic James
2-3
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
Dominic James credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Dominic James won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Nic Dowd shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Penalty to Jack Finley 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Ryan Leonard)
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Jack Finley)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Logan Thompson
Jack Finley won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Alex Ovechkin in neutral zone
Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Logan Thompson
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Tom Wilson in offensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Logan Thompson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Logan Thompson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Brayden Point won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jack Finley won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dominic James
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Logan Thompson
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by John Carlson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Ethen Frank shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Logan Thompson
Brayden Point won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Penalty to Aliaksei Protas 2 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Tom Wilson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
Dominic James won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 19 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 23 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 19 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 23 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Capitals vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Lightning
- Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +128, Lightning -148
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 43%
- Lightning: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 43%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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