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Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
3
May 14, 11PM KeyBank Center
May 14, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Sabres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Sabres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
P3 19:46 Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 18:39 Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:22 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 15:44 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:41 Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:37 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:46 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 09:42 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:48 Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:41 Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:44 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 04:59 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 03:58 Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
P3 03:07 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 02:53 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Josh Norris credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Penalty to Tage Thompson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Zach Benson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Josh Anderson
Power play - Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Phillip Danault
Josh Anderson won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Owen Power credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
Jake Evans won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Konsta Helenius
2-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by teammate
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 25 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 25 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at undefined
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +102, Sabres -101
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 47%
- Sabres: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 47%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
