Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
6
3
May 14, 11PM KeyBank Center
Sabres
May 14, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 3 1 6
Sabres
3 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CanadiensMTL
Win %
100%
0%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 3 1 6
Sabres
3 0 0 3
P3 19:46 Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 18:39 Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:22 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 15:44 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:41 Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:37 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:46 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 09:42 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:48 Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:41 Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:44 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 04:59 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 03:58 Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
P3 03:07 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 02:53 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:52
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P3 19:52
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 19:46
SHOT
Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 18:39
SHOT
Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 17:50
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P3 16:32
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P3 16:32
Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 15:56
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 15:28
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 15:28
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:41
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:23
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 14:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 13:55
Josh Norris credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
P3 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:31
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P3 13:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 13:15
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 13:15
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 12:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:56
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P3 11:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 11:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 10:35
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P3 10:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 10:06
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
P3 10:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 09:42
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 09:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:02
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P3 09:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:48
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:44
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
P3 07:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:13
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 05:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 05:01
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:02
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
P3 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
P3 03:32
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P3 03:07
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 02:53
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
P3 02:09
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P3 02:09
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
P3 01:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 01:50
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 01:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 01:40
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P3 00:58
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P3 00:58
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 00:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 00:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 00:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 00:00
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 19:00
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 17:33
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
P2 17:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 17:23
Penalty to Tage Thompson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 16:35
Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
P2 16:15
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P2 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 15:29
SHOT
Zach Benson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P2 15:20
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P2 15:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 14:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 14:27
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P2 13:20
Power play - Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
P2 12:51
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 12:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:37
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 12:25
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 12:18
Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
P2 12:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 11:37
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 11:37
Stoppage - Offside
P2 11:15
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
P2 11:13
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 10:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P2 10:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P2 10:17
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 08:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P2 08:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 08:01
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 07:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P2 07:55
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
P2 06:46
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
P2 06:42
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 04:56
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P2 03:49
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
P2 03:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 03:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 03:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
P2 02:21
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
P2 02:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 01:20
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P2 01:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:10
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
P2 01:10
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:31
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 00:05
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 00:05
Stoppage - Offside
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:54
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
P1 19:28
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 19:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 18:46
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P1 17:32
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P1 17:06
Josh Anderson won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P1 17:06
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 16:32
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 16:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:59
Owen Power credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
P1 15:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P1 15:23
Jake Evans won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
P1 15:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:17
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 14:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 11:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 10:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P1 10:15
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
P1 10:13
GOAL
Goal scored by Konsta Helenius
2-3
P1 09:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P1 09:47
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:58
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by teammate
P1 08:47
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 08:47
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:37
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P1 07:54
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P1 07:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
P1 07:45
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 07:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 07:06
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P1 07:02
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P1 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 06:55
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
P1 06:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 06:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P1 06:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 06:31
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P1 06:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield
1-1
P1 06:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 04:59
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 04:59
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:38
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
P1 03:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P1 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 02:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 02:00
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 01:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 01:20
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P1 01:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P1 00:00
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
26Shots on Goal36
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
16Penalty Infraction Mins16
19Hits22
25Shots Blocked11
16Giveaways11
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
26Shots on Goal36
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
16Penalty Infraction Mins16
19Hits22
25Shots Blocked11
16Giveaways11

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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +102, Sabres -101

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 47%
  • Sabres: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 47%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.