Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
6
3
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 3 1 6
Sabres
3 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 3 1 6
Sabres
3 0 0 3
P3 19:46 Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 18:39 Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:22 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 15:44 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:41 Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:37 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:46 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 09:42 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:48 Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:41 Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:44 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 04:59 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 03:58 Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
P3 03:07 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 02:53 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:52
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:52
    Stoppage - High Stick
  4. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Luke Schenn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  5. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Konsta Helenius shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  6. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  7. P3 17:50
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  8. P3 16:32
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  9. P3 16:32
    Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  10. P3 15:56
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  11. P3 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  12. P3 15:28
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  15. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
  16. P3 14:23
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  17. P3 14:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  18. P3 13:55
    Josh Norris credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
  19. P3 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  20. P3 13:31
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  21. P3 13:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 13:15
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  23. P3 13:15
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  24. P3 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
  25. P3 11:56
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  26. P3 11:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  27. P3 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  28. P3 10:35
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  29. P3 10:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  30. P3 10:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  31. P3 10:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  32. P3 09:42
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  33. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  34. P3 09:02
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  35. P3 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
  36. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  37. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
  38. P3 07:44
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  39. P3 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  40. P3 06:13
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  41. P3 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  42. P3 05:01
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  43. P3 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  44. P3 04:02
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  45. P3 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Alex Lyon
  46. P3 03:32
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  47. P3 03:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  48. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
  49. P3 02:09
    Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  50. P3 02:09
    Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
  51. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  52. P3 01:50
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  53. P3 01:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jakub Dobes
  54. P3 01:40
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  55. P3 00:58
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  56. P3 00:58
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  57. P3 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  58. P3 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  59. P3 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  60. P3 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  61. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  62. P2 19:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  63. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Josh Norris shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  64. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  65. P2 17:33
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
  66. P2 17:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  67. P2 17:23
    Penalty to Tage Thompson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  68. P2 16:35
    Jordan Greenway credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  69. P2 16:15
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  70. P2 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  71. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Zach Benson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  72. P2 15:20
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  73. P2 15:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  74. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  75. P2 14:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  76. P2 13:20
    Power play - Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  77. P2 12:51
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  78. P2 12:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 12:37
    SHOT
    Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  80. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Josh Anderson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  81. P2 12:18
    Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  82. P2 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  83. P2 11:37
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  84. P2 11:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  85. P2 11:15
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  86. P2 11:13
    SHOT
    Kirby Dach shot blocked by Owen Power
  87. P2 10:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  88. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  89. P2 10:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  90. P2 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  91. P2 08:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  92. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  93. P2 08:01
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  94. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  95. P2 07:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 07:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
  97. P2 06:46
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
  98. P2 06:42
    SHOT
    Josh Norris shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  99. P2 04:56
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  100. P2 03:49
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  101. P2 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  102. P2 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Jakub Dobes
  103. P2 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Norris
  104. P2 02:21
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
  105. P2 02:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P2 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  107. P2 01:20
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  108. P2 01:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 01:10
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  110. P2 01:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P2 00:31
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  112. P2 00:05
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  113. P2 00:05
    Stoppage - Offside
  114. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  115. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
  116. P1 19:28
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  117. P1 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  118. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Conor Timmins shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  119. P1 17:32
    SHOT
    Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  120. P1 17:06
    Josh Anderson won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  121. P1 17:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  122. P1 16:32
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  123. P1 16:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  124. P1 15:59
    Owen Power credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
  125. P1 15:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  126. P1 15:23
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  127. P1 15:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  128. P1 14:17
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  129. P1 14:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P1 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  131. P1 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  132. P1 10:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  133. P1 10:15
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  134. P1 10:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Konsta Helenius
    2-3
  135. P1 09:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  136. P1 09:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  137. P1 08:58
    SHOT
    Jake Evans shot blocked by teammate
  138. P1 08:47
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  139. P1 08:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 08:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  141. P1 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  142. P1 07:54
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  143. P1 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
  144. P1 07:45
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  145. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  146. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
  147. P1 07:02
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  148. P1 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  149. P1 06:55
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  150. P1 06:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  151. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  152. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  153. P1 06:31
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  154. P1 06:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cole Caufield
    1-1
  155. P1 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  156. P1 04:59
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  157. P1 04:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  158. P1 04:38
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  159. P1 03:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirby Dach
  160. P1 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  161. P1 02:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  162. P1 02:00
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  163. P1 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  164. P1 01:20
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  165. P1 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  166. P1 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  167. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
26Shots on Goal36
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
16Penalty Infraction Mins16
19Hits22
25 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways11
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
26Shots on Goal36
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
2/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
16Penalty Infraction Mins16
19Hits22
25 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways11

Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens 50¢, Sabres 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 47%
  • Sabres: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 47%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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