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Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on April 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
2
3
Apr 21, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Apr 21, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
OT1 12:48 Goal scored by J.J. Moser
OT1 12:32 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Jayden Struble
OT1 07:20 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 07:15 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 04:20 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Phillip Danault
OT1 03:29 Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
OT1 01:29 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 01:05 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 01:03 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
OT1 00:42 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 19:26 Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:57 Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 16:31 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:06 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:58 Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 12:30 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 09:54 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 08:07 Shorthanded - Josh Anderson shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P3 07:01 Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 06:17 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.J. Moser
2-3
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Jayden Struble
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Phillip Danault
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jake Evans credited with hit on Declan Carlile in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Jayden Struble in offensive zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Jake Evans in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Josh Anderson shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dominic James)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Scott Sabourin in offensive zone
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by teammate
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Canadiens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Alexandre Carrier credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Power play - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Kaiden Guhle 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Phillip Danault
Alexandre Texier credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Corey Perry won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Served by Arber Xhekaj)
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kaiden Guhle in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Lane Hutson assisted by Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield
1-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Corey Perry)
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Arber Xhekaj)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
0-1
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by teammate
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ivan Demidov
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by Jake Evans in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 27 | |||
| 43 | Hits | 34 | |||
| 25 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 21 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 27 | |||
| 43 | Hits | 34 | |||
| 25 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 21 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +167, Lightning -167
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 39%
- Lightning: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
