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Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bruins vs. Lightning NHL game on April 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
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Apr 4, 9PM Benchmark International Arena
Apr 4, 9PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bruins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bruins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 18:27 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
P3 18:26 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:08 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
P3 16:36 David Pastrnak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 15:47 Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 08:01 Nick Paul shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
P3 07:54 Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
P3 06:04 Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P3 03:25 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 02:52 Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:07 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:42 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jordan Harris
P3 00:54 David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 00:19 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 19:57 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P2 18:08 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 17:59 Brayden Point shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Jake Guentzel and Ryan McDonagh (Empty Net)
1-3
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
1-3
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
Bruins won faceoff against Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Bruins won faceoff against Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jeremy Swayman
Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jordan Harris
SHOT
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Nikita Zadorov won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by David Pastrnak
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jeremy Swayman
Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jeremy Swayman
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Harris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Mitchell Chaffee shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Casey Mittelstadt assisted by Viktor Arvidsson and Pavel Zacha
1-0
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Andrew Peeke shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Harris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
Takeaway by Tanner Jeannot in offensive zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Geekie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
SHOT
Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Giveaway by Michael Eyssimont in neutral zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 69% | Faceoff Win % | 31% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 69% | Faceoff Win % | 31% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 11 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Bruins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bruins vs. Lightning
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bruins +156, Lightning -156
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bruins: 39%
- Lightning: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bruins a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bruins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
