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Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Lightning NHL game on April 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
6
Apr 2, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Apr 2, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
P3 19:59 Goal scored by Egor Chinakhov assisted by Anthony Mantha and Kris Letang
P3 19:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:57 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 12:33 Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 12:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 10:28 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:42 Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:30 Kris Letang shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 08:07 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:17 Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Mitchell Chaffee
P3 06:17 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 05:57 Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 04:57 Shot missed by Samuel Girard
P3 04:45 Kris Letang shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 04:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 04:07 Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ben Kindel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
GOAL
Goal scored by Egor Chinakhov assisted by Anthony Mantha and Kris Letang
3-6
Penguins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Rickard Rakell)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Stuart Skinner
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Egor Chinakhov credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Egor Chinakhov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Stuart Skinner
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Kris Letang)
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Mitchell Chaffee
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Stuart Skinner
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand)
Penalty to Oliver Bjorkstrand 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penguins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Stuart Skinner
Penguins won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Egor Chinakhov in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Stuart Skinner
Thomas Novak credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Paul won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
2-3
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Penguins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mitchell Chaffee in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Samuel Girard
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Power play - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
SHOT
Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Holding
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand)
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
GOAL
Goal scored by Egor Chinakhov assisted by Bryan Rust and Samuel Girard
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Egor Chinakhov
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Stuart Skinner
Stoppage - Icing
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
Penguins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Gage Goncalves and Oliver Bjorkstrand
0-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
J.J. Moser credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Penguins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +148, Lightning -147
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 40%
- Lightning: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
