Stars vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Stars
2
1
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 1 0 0 2
Avalanche
1 0 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Avalanche
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 1 0 0 2
Avalanche
1 0 0 0 1
OT1 04:39 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
OT1 03:46 Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 03:16 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
OT1 02:08 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 00:52 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 00:14 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 17:25 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:49 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 13:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 11:57 Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 11:52 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 11:19 Jason Robertson shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:13 Jack Drury shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P3 10:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 09:45 Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
P3 08:53 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:48 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 07:30 Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 05:15 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  3. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Martin Necas
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  6. SO
    Shootout attempt by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
  7. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  8. OT1 04:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  9. OT1 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  10. OT1 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  11. OT1 02:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
  12. OT1 01:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  13. OT1 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
  14. OT1 00:16
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  15. OT1 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
  16. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  17. P3 19:21
    Takeaway by Brett Kulak in neutral zone
  18. P3 18:35
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  19. P3 18:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 18:23
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  21. P3 18:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
  23. P3 16:44
    Jason Robertson credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
  24. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
  25. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  26. P3 13:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Scott Wedgewood
  27. P3 12:31
    Stars won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  28. P3 12:27
    Power play - Jamie Benn won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  29. P3 12:27
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  30. P3 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Scott Wedgewood
  31. P3 11:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Scott Wedgewood
  32. P3 11:41
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  33. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  34. P3 11:13
    SHOT
    Jack Drury shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  35. P3 10:11
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  36. P3 10:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
  37. P3 09:55
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  38. P3 09:51
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  39. P3 09:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
  41. P3 09:00
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  42. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Jake Oettinger
  43. P3 08:41
    Stars won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  44. P3 08:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  45. P3 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  46. P3 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  47. P3 07:05
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  48. P3 07:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 06:06
    Nathan Bastian credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
  50. P3 05:17
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  51. P3 05:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  52. P3 04:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  53. P3 03:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  54. P3 03:49
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  55. P3 03:06
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  56. P3 03:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  57. P3 02:30
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Oskar Back in neutral zone
  58. P3 02:30
    Stoppage - Offside
  59. P3 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Scott Wedgewood
  60. P3 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  61. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  62. P2 19:41
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  63. P2 19:41
    Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Misconduct
  64. P2 19:08
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  65. P2 19:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  66. P2 18:55
    Stars won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  67. P2 18:52
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  68. P2 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
  69. P2 18:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brent Burns
  70. P2 18:04
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  71. P2 17:57
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  72. P2 17:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
  73. P2 17:26
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  74. P2 17:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  75. P2 16:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devon Toews
  76. P2 16:30
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
  77. P2 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  78. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Bunting
  79. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
  80. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oskar Back
  81. P2 10:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
  82. P2 09:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  83. P2 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Kiviranta
  84. P2 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jake Oettinger
  85. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Jake Oettinger
  86. P2 07:51
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  87. P2 07:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  88. P2 07:04
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Adam Erne
  89. P2 06:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
  90. P2 06:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Robertson
    1-1
  91. P2 05:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
  92. P2 05:06
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  93. P2 05:05
    Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in neutral zone
  94. P2 04:43
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  95. P2 04:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Scott Wedgewood
  96. P2 04:36
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  97. P2 04:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  99. P2 03:54
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
  100. P2 03:50
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  101. P2 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by Jake Oettinger
  102. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Scott Wedgewood
  103. P2 03:01
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  104. P2 02:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P2 02:20
    Ivan Ivan won faceoff against Oskar Back in offensive zone
  106. P2 01:35
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
  107. P2 01:32
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  108. P2 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Jake Oettinger
  109. P2 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Scott Wedgewood
  110. P2 00:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
  111. P2 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  112. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  113. P1 19:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  114. P1 19:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P1 19:22
    SHOT
    Brock Nelson shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  116. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
  117. P1 19:04
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  118. P1 18:55
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  119. P1 18:33
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  120. P1 18:32
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cale Makar
    0-1
  121. P1 17:15
    Power play - Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Oskar Back in offensive zone
  122. P1 17:08
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  123. P1 16:39
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  124. P1 16:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  125. P1 16:13
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by teammate
  126. P1 16:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
  128. P1 14:55
    Parker Kelly won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  129. P1 14:55
    Stoppage - High Stick
  130. P1 14:22
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  131. P1 13:32
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  132. P1 13:26
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  133. P1 13:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  134. P1 13:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  135. P1 12:22
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  136. P1 12:03
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  137. P1 11:30
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  138. P1 10:50
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  139. P1 10:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jake Oettinger
  140. P1 08:17
    Parker Kelly credited with hit on Tyler Myers in offensive zone
  141. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devon Toews
  142. P1 07:34
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  143. P1 07:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  144. P1 07:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  145. P1 06:46
    Stars won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  146. P1 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  147. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Matt Duchene
  148. P1 04:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  149. P1 02:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  150. P1 02:24
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  151. P1 02:06
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  152. P1 01:28
    Nathan Bastian credited with hit on Ivan Ivan in offensive zone
  153. P1 01:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  154. P1 00:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  155. P1 00:28
    Stoppage - Offside
  156. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Avalanche
18Shots on Goal34
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
25Hits29
20 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways12
StarsDAL
AvalancheCOL
18Shots on Goal34
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
25Hits29
20 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways12

Stars vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars 44¢, Avalanche 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 44%
  • Avalanche: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 44%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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