Senators vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Capitals NHL game on March 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
1
4
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Senators
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 2 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 2 2 4
P3 19:34 Power play - Goal scored by Cole Hutson
P3 18:28 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
P3 18:21 Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:31 Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 14:20 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:30 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:15 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 12:58 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:44 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 08:30 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 07:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:17 Power play - Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:54 Power play - Jordan Spence shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 06:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:21 Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 05:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:35 Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 05:32 Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 04:48 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Tom Wilson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:34
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cole Hutson
    1-4
  3. P3 18:48
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:48
    Penalty to Tyler Kleven 2 minutes for Misconduct
  5. P3 18:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
    1-3
  6. P3 18:21
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
  7. P3 17:39
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 17:33
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  10. P3 17:19
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  11. P3 17:04
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  12. P3 16:35
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:29
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:22
    Takeaway by Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  16. P3 14:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
  17. P3 14:19
    Power play - Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:13
    Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  19. P3 13:33
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  20. P3 13:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
  21. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  22. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  23. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
  24. P3 10:53
    Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  25. P3 09:41
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:32
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  27. P3 09:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 08:44
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  29. P3 08:30
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matt Roy
  30. P3 07:40
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  31. P3 07:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  32. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
  33. P3 07:18
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
  34. P3 07:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Logan Thompson
  35. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Jordan Spence shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  36. P3 06:47
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  37. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Logan Thompson
  38. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  39. P3 05:45
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
  40. P3 05:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
  41. P3 05:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  42. P3 05:32
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  43. P3 04:48
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  44. P3 04:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Logan Thompson
  45. P3 04:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  46. P3 04:36
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  47. P3 03:32
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  48. P3 03:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  49. P3 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  50. P3 02:22
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  51. P3 02:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  52. P3 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  53. P3 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  54. P3 01:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:17
    Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  57. P2 19:03
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  58. P2 19:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  59. P2 18:28
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dennis Gilbert
  60. P2 18:13
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  61. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
  62. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  63. P2 16:42
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Artem Zub
  64. P2 16:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Linus Ullmark
  65. P2 16:05
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  66. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Linus Ullmark
  67. P2 15:30
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
  68. P2 14:53
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  69. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Linus Ullmark
  70. P2 14:20
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
  71. P2 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  72. P2 14:10
    Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  73. P2 13:56
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  74. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
  75. P2 12:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  76. P2 12:46
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  77. P2 12:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Matt Roy
  79. P2 11:38
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  80. P2 11:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  81. P2 11:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  82. P2 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Logan Thompson
  83. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Logan Thompson
  84. P2 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Logan Thompson
  85. P2 08:09
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  86. P2 08:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin assisted by Rasmus Sandin
    0-1
  87. P2 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  88. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  89. P2 07:04
    Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  90. P2 06:53
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  91. P2 06:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  92. P2 06:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Linus Ullmark
  93. P2 05:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  94. P2 05:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  95. P2 05:36
    Giveaway by Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  96. P2 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  97. P2 04:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  98. P2 03:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  99. P2 03:46
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  100. P2 03:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  101. P2 03:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  102. P2 02:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  103. P2 02:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P2 02:44
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  105. P2 02:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Hutson shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  106. P2 01:51
    Power play - Giveaway by Ethen Frank in neutral zone
  107. P2 01:30
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  108. P2 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  109. P2 00:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  110. P2 00:00
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  111. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  112. P1 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dennis Gilbert saved by Logan Thompson
  113. P1 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Linus Ullmark
  114. P1 18:33
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  115. P1 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
  116. P1 17:25
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  117. P1 17:13
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  118. P1 17:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  119. P1 16:52
    Senators won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  120. P1 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Logan Thompson
  121. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  122. P1 15:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  123. P1 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  124. P1 14:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P1 14:35
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  126. P1 14:27
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  127. P1 14:24
    Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  128. P1 14:22
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
  129. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
  130. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  131. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  132. P1 13:00
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  133. P1 12:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  134. P1 12:00
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  135. P1 11:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  136. P1 11:51
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  137. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  138. P1 10:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Logan Thompson
  139. P1 09:57
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  140. P1 09:26
    Giveaway by Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
  141. P1 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Logan Thompson
  142. P1 08:59
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  143. P1 08:49
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  144. P1 08:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  145. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  146. P1 08:10
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  147. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Logan Thompson
  148. P1 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  149. P1 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Logan Thompson
  150. P1 04:43
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  151. P1 04:05
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  152. P1 04:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  153. P1 03:08
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  154. P1 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  155. P1 02:26
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  156. P1 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
  157. P1 00:42
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Cole Hutson in defensive zone
  158. P1 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Linus Ullmark
  159. P1 00:21
    Matt Roy credited with hit on Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  160. P1 00:04
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Jordan Spence in neutral zone
  161. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Capitals
35Shots on Goal25
67% Faceoff Win % 33%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits25
12 Shots Blocked 20
12Giveaways12
SenatorsOTT
CapitalsWSH
35Shots on Goal25
67% Faceoff Win % 33%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits25
12 Shots Blocked 20
12Giveaways12

Senators vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Capitals
  • Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators 56¢, Capitals 45¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 54%
  • Capitals: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 54%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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