Capitals vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Flyers NHL game on March 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
1
4
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 0 1
Flyers
0 2 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Flyers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 0 1
Flyers
0 2 2 4
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 19:16 Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 17:30 Shot missed by Alex Bump
P3 16:58 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:53 Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 12:03 Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:42 Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:32 Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 10:19 Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 09:51 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 08:17 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 07:56 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 07:31 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 07:15 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 05:43 Luke Glendening shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 04:54 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:49 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 04:26 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 00:19 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
  3. P3 19:18
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
  5. P3 18:57
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  6. P3 18:37
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  7. P3 18:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - Visitor Timeout
  8. P3 17:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  9. P3 17:33
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  10. P3 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Bump
  11. P3 17:00
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  13. P3 16:31
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:09
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Tom Wilson in defensive zone
  15. P3 16:09
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  16. P3 15:53
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
  17. P3 15:26
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  18. P3 15:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  19. P3 13:37
    Takeaway by Owen Tippett in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:54
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  21. P3 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Ersson
  22. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Samuel Ersson
  23. P3 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Samuel Ersson
  24. P3 11:32
    SHOT
    Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  25. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  26. P3 09:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Samuel Ersson
  27. P3 08:46
    Shorthanded - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  28. P3 08:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  29. P3 08:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  30. P3 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Samuel Ersson
  31. P3 07:33
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  32. P3 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  33. P3 07:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  34. P3 06:09
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  35. P3 06:09
    Penalty to Travis Konecny 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Tom Wilson)
  36. P3 06:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 05:43
    SHOT
    Luke Glendening shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  38. P3 04:55
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  39. P3 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  40. P3 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  41. P3 04:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  42. P3 04:15
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  43. P3 04:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  44. P3 02:45
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
  45. P3 01:16
    Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P2 19:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  50. P2 19:06
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  51. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  52. P2 18:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  53. P2 17:39
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nikita Grebenkin
  54. P2 17:29
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  55. P2 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  56. P2 17:07
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  57. P2 16:15
    SHOT
    Dylan Strome shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
  58. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Logan Thompson
  59. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  60. P2 13:03
    Denver Barkey credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  61. P2 12:46
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  62. P2 12:13
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  63. P2 11:44
    Carl Grundstrom credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  64. P2 11:24
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  65. P2 11:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  66. P2 10:06
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  67. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Noah Cates
  68. P2 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Samuel Ersson
  69. P2 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  70. P2 07:34
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  71. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Alex Bump shot blocked by Matt Roy
  72. P2 07:27
    Stoppage - Offside
  73. P2 07:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  74. P2 06:27
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  75. P2 06:27
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  76. P2 05:50
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  77. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  78. P2 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Logan Thompson
  79. P2 04:47
    Sean Couturier credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in neutral zone
  80. P2 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  81. P2 04:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Travis Konecny assisted by Travis Sanheim and Alex Bump
    1-1
  82. P2 03:33
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Rasmus Ristolainen in defensive zone
  83. P2 02:38
    SHOT
    Noah Cates shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  84. P2 01:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  85. P2 01:31
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
  86. P2 00:33
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
  87. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
  88. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  89. P1 19:17
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Sean Couturier
  90. P1 18:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
  91. P1 17:26
    Cam York credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
  92. P1 17:05
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Owen Tippett in defensive zone
  93. P1 16:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  94. P1 16:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Cam York
  95. P1 15:14
    Power play - Tom Wilson won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  96. P1 15:14
    Penalty to Rasmus Ristolainen 2 minutes for Misconduct
  97. P1 14:54
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  98. P1 14:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
  99. P1 14:03
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  100. P1 14:03
    Penalty to Nikita Grebenkin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brandon Duhaime)
  101. P1 14:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P1 13:21
    Shorthanded - Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Alex Bump in defensive zone
  103. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Cam York shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  104. P1 11:57
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Travis Konecny in defensive zone
  105. P1 10:51
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  106. P1 10:20
    Noah Juulsen credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  107. P1 09:51
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  108. P1 09:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  109. P1 09:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
  110. P1 09:03
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
  111. P1 07:48
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  112. P1 07:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  113. P1 07:33
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  114. P1 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Samuel Ersson
  115. P1 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
  116. P1 06:30
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  117. P1 05:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
  118. P1 04:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  119. P1 04:16
    Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Owen Tippett)
  120. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  121. P1 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  122. P1 03:06
    Alex Bump credited with hit on Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  123. P1 03:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  124. P1 02:48
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  125. P1 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  126. P1 02:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 02:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Samuel Ersson
  128. P1 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
  129. P1 01:23
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Rasmus Ristolainen in offensive zone
  130. P1 00:42
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  131. P1 00:18
    Stoppage - Offside
  132. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Flyers
22Shots on Goal22
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
20Hits16
11 Shots Blocked 16
10Giveaways11
CapitalsWSH
FlyersPHI
22Shots on Goal22
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
20Hits16
11 Shots Blocked 16
10Giveaways11

Capitals vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Flyers
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals -130, Flyers +120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 54%
  • Flyers: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 54%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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