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Capitals vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Flyers NHL game on March 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Capitals
1
4
Mar 11, 11:30PM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Mar 11, 11:30PM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 0 1
Flyers
0 2 2 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CapitalsWSH
Win %
0%
100%
FlyersPHI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 0 0 1
Flyers
0 2 2 4
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 19:16 Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 17:30 Shot missed by Alex Bump
P3 16:58 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:53 Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 12:03 Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:42 Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:32 Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 10:19 Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 09:51 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 08:17 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 07:56 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 07:31 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 07:15 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 05:43 Luke Glendening shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 04:54 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:49 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 04:26 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 00:19 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 19:18
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 19:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P3 18:57
Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P3 18:37
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P3 18:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - Visitor Timeout
P3 17:54
Stoppage - Offside
P3 17:33
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P3 17:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Bump
P3 17:00
Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P3 16:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:31
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
P3 16:09
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Tom Wilson in defensive zone
P3 16:09
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
P3 15:53
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:26
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P3 15:26
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:37
Takeaway by Owen Tippett in defensive zone
P3 12:54
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 12:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 12:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:32
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 10:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 09:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 08:46
Shorthanded - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 08:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 08:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 07:33
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 07:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 07:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 06:09
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P3 06:09
Penalty to Travis Konecny 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Tom Wilson)
P3 06:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 05:43
SHOT
Luke Glendening shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 04:55
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
P3 04:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 04:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 04:15
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P3 04:15
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 02:45
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P3 01:16
Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
P3 00:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P2 19:06
Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P2 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:26
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:39
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nikita Grebenkin
P2 17:29
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P2 17:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P2 17:07
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P2 16:15
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P2 15:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Logan Thompson
P2 13:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
P2 13:03
Denver Barkey credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 12:46
Noah Cates won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 12:13
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P2 11:44
Carl Grundstrom credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P2 11:24
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
P2 11:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
P2 10:06
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P2 09:46
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Noah Cates
P2 09:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 08:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P2 07:34
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P2 07:33
SHOT
Alex Bump shot blocked by Matt Roy
P2 07:27
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:19
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 06:27
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
P2 06:27
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P2 05:50
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
P2 05:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P2 05:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Logan Thompson
P2 04:47
Sean Couturier credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in neutral zone
P2 04:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 04:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Travis Konecny assisted by Travis Sanheim and Alex Bump
1-1
P2 03:33
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Rasmus Ristolainen in defensive zone
P2 02:38
SHOT
Noah Cates shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P2 01:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:31
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
P2 00:33
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Luke Glendening in defensive zone
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:17
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Sean Couturier
P1 18:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
P1 17:26
Cam York credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
P1 17:05
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Owen Tippett in defensive zone
P1 16:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 16:04
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Cam York
P1 15:14
Power play - Tom Wilson won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P1 15:14
Penalty to Rasmus Ristolainen 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 14:54
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 14:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 14:03
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 14:03
Penalty to Nikita Grebenkin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brandon Duhaime)
P1 14:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:21
Shorthanded - Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Alex Bump in defensive zone
P1 13:02
SHOT
Power play - Cam York shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P1 11:57
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Travis Konecny in defensive zone
P1 10:51
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 10:20
Noah Juulsen credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 09:51
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
P1 09:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P1 09:13
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P1 09:03
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
P1 07:48
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 07:48
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:33
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P1 07:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 06:30
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 05:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P1 04:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P1 04:16
Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Owen Tippett)
P1 04:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P1 03:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P1 03:06
Alex Bump credited with hit on Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P1 03:00
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 02:48
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P1 02:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P1 02:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 01:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 01:23
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Rasmus Ristolainen in offensive zone
P1 00:42
Luke Glendening won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 00:18
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Flyers
22Shots on Goal22
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
20Hits16
11Shots Blocked16
10Giveaways11
CapitalsWSH
FlyersPHI
22Shots on Goal22
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
20Hits16
11Shots Blocked16
10Giveaways11

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Capitals vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Flyers
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals -130, Flyers +120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 54%
  • Flyers: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 54%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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