Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Penguins NHL game on March 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flyers
4
3
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123OTT
Flyers
1 2 0 0 4
Penguins
1 2 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    100%
  • Penguins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Flyers
1 2 0 0 4
Penguins
1 2 0 0 3
OT1 03:54 Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
OT1 03:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Dan Vladar
OT1 03:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Dan Vladar
OT1 02:44 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dan Vladar
OT1 01:56 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Dan Vladar
P3 19:33 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 15:18 Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 11:17 Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 10:04 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
P3 08:58 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Alex Bump
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dan Vladar
P3 07:00 Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 05:21 Power play - Thomas Novak shot blocked by Luke Glendening
P3 03:51 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 02:12 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 00:15 Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P2 18:38 Shot on goal by Garnet Hathaway saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:41 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 15:01 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dan Vladar
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt by Matvei Michkov saved by Stuart Skinner
  3. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  4. SO
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  5. OT1 03:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  6. OT1 03:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Dan Vladar
  7. OT1 03:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Dan Vladar
  8. OT1 02:51
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  9. OT1 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dan Vladar
  10. OT1 01:59
    Jamie Drysdale credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  11. OT1 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Dan Vladar
  12. OT1 01:08
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  13. OT1 01:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. OT1 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  15. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  16. P3 19:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  17. P3 19:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  18. P3 19:07
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  19. P3 19:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  20. P3 18:06
    Giveaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  21. P3 17:36
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  22. P3 17:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  23. P3 17:20
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  24. P3 17:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  25. P3 16:15
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Luke Glendening in offensive zone
  26. P3 15:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  27. P3 14:24
    Power play - Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  28. P3 14:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 13:19
    Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  30. P3 12:27
    Carl Grundstrom credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
  31. P3 12:24
    Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  32. P3 11:51
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  33. P3 11:32
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  34. P3 11:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 11:17
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  36. P3 11:11
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  37. P3 11:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 10:44
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  39. P3 10:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  40. P3 10:04
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
  41. P3 10:01
    Bryan Rust won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  42. P3 09:55
    Giveaway by Travis Sanheim in defensive zone
  43. P3 09:45
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  44. P3 09:04
    Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  45. P3 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  46. P3 08:40
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  47. P3 08:40
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  48. P3 08:17
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  49. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Bump
  50. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Dan Vladar
  51. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Emil Andrae
  52. P3 05:52
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
  53. P3 05:51
    Shorthanded - Luke Glendening won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  54. P3 05:31
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  55. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Novak shot blocked by Luke Glendening
  56. P3 03:54
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  57. P3 03:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  58. P3 02:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  59. P3 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  60. P3 01:15
    Trevor Zegras credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  61. P3 00:43
    Bryan Rust credited with hit on Rasmus Ristolainen in offensive zone
  62. P3 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  63. P3 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  64. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  65. P2 19:04
    Takeaway by Alex Bump in offensive zone
  66. P2 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Garnet Hathaway saved by Stuart Skinner
  67. P2 17:33
    Giveaway by Samuel Girard in neutral zone
  68. P2 17:19
    Giveaway by Kris Letang in neutral zone
  69. P2 16:50
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  70. P2 16:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  71. P2 16:18
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  72. P2 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  73. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dan Vladar
  74. P2 14:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
  75. P2 14:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Bump
  76. P2 13:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Denver Barkey
  77. P2 13:02
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  78. P2 12:19
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
  79. P2 12:15
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  80. P2 12:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  81. P2 12:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dan Vladar
  82. P2 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  83. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Owen Tippett
  84. P2 10:22
    Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  85. P2 10:03
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  86. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by Stuart Skinner
  87. P2 09:40
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  88. P2 09:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Dan Vladar
  90. P2 09:21
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  91. P2 08:38
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  92. P2 08:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  93. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dan Vladar
  94. P2 08:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  95. P2 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
  96. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Stuart Skinner
  97. P2 05:51
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  98. P2 05:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  99. P2 05:45
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  100. P2 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  101. P2 05:04
    Connor Dewar credited with hit on Noah Juulsen in offensive zone
  102. P2 04:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  103. P2 04:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  104. P2 03:47
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  105. P2 03:47
    Stoppage
  106. P2 03:38
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
  107. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Dan Vladar
  108. P2 03:25
    Stoppage - Offside
  109. P2 03:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carl Grundstrom
  110. P2 02:10
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  111. P2 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Stuart Skinner
  112. P2 01:38
    Owen Tippett credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in neutral zone
  113. P2 01:35
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  114. P2 01:07
    Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  115. P2 00:48
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  116. P2 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Stuart Skinner
  117. P2 00:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  118. P2 00:00
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  119. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  120. P1 18:40
    Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  121. P1 18:40
    Penalty to Jamie Drysdale 2 minutes for Misconduct
  122. P1 18:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Dan Vladar
  123. P1 18:00
    Denver Barkey credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
  124. P1 16:29
    Giveaway by Garnet Hathaway in neutral zone
  125. P1 16:21
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  126. P1 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dan Vladar
  127. P1 16:18
    Giveaway by Owen Tippett in defensive zone
  128. P1 14:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Bump
  129. P1 13:44
    Penalty to Justin Brazeau 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Luke Glendening)
  130. P1 13:09
    Takeaway by Cam York in offensive zone
  131. P1 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Stuart Skinner
  132. P1 11:55
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  133. P1 11:55
    Stoppage
  134. P1 10:21
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  135. P1 10:21
    Stoppage - High Stick
  136. P1 09:17
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  137. P1 09:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  138. P1 09:12
    Power play - Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  139. P1 07:47
    Giveaway by Alex Bump in offensive zone
  140. P1 07:33
    SHOT
    Alex Bump shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  141. P1 07:24
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  142. P1 06:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Stuart Skinner
  143. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  144. P1 06:30
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  145. P1 05:56
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  146. P1 05:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Grebenkin
  148. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Noah Juulsen shot blocked by teammate
  149. P1 04:24
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  150. P1 03:50
    SHOT
    Trevor Zegras shot blocked by teammate
  151. P1 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avery Hayes
  152. P1 03:22
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  153. P1 03:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  154. P1 01:31
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  155. P1 01:31
    Penalty to Rasmus Ristolainen 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Yegor Chinakhov)
  156. P1 01:24
    Owen Tippett won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  157. P1 01:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  158. P1 01:03
    Noah Cates credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  159. P1 00:49
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  160. P1 00:49
    Stoppage - Offside
  161. P1 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  162. P1 00:00
    Luke Glendening won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Penguins
15Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins9
26Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 5
12Giveaways14
FlyersPHI
PenguinsPIT
15Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins9
26Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 5
12Giveaways14

Flyers vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +122, Penguins -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 42%
  • Penguins: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 42%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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