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Flyers vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Sabres NHL game on January 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Flyers
2
5
Jan 15, 12:30AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Jan 15, 12:30AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 1 2
Sabres
2 2 1 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
FlyersPHI
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 1 2
Sabres
2 2 1 5
P3 19:08 Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:04 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 18:48 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 17:39 Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 17:12 Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:17 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:43 Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:43 Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 10:02 Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
P3 09:01 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 08:43 Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 07:37 Power play - Goal scored by Trevor Zegras assisted by Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett
P3 03:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 03:00 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 02:53 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 01:11 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:11 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P2 19:52 Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P2 19:01 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 17:34 Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:08
SHOT
Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 18:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 17:45
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 17:45
Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Matvei Michkov)
P3 17:39
SHOT
Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 17:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 16:55
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 16:55
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:44
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P3 15:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 13:58
Shorthanded - Noah Cates won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 13:58
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 13:22
Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
P3 12:47
Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 12:47
Stoppage
P3 11:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 11:41
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 11:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:14
Stoppage - Icing
P3 10:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
P3 09:03
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P3 09:01
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 08:43
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 07:37
Noah Cates won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
P3 07:37
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Trevor Zegras assisted by Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett
2-4
P3 06:47
Power play - Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 06:47
Penalty to Zach Metsa 2 minutes for Hooking
P3 06:28
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
P3 04:46
Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in neutral zone
P3 04:18
Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 03:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 03:35
Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 03:14
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 03:14
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 02:59
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 02:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 01:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 00:00
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P2 19:14
Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 19:14
Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
P2 19:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 18:05
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 18:05
Stoppage - Net Dislodged by Goaltender
P2 17:40
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 17:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 16:54
Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 16:54
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:46
Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
P2 16:46
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 15:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Seeler
P2 15:25
Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 15:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Grebenkin
P2 13:08
SHOT
Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Cam York
P2 12:44
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P2 12:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P2 11:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 11:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Deslauriers saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 11:17
Josh Norris won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
P2 10:28
Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P2 09:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 09:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P2 09:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 08:03
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
P2 08:03
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:48
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 07:17
SHOT
Noah Juulsen shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P2 07:14
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P2 06:33
Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P2 06:33
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P2 04:50
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
P2 04:22
Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P2 03:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 03:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 03:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 02:05
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P2 02:05
Penalty to Trevor Zegras 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 01:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 00:59
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P2 00:59
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 00:00
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Flyers replaced goalie. (Samuel Ersson)
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P1 18:19
Nikita Grebenkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P1 18:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 18:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 17:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Deslauriers saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 16:29
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P1 16:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Dan Vladar
P1 16:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P1 15:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
P1 15:13
Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P1 13:47
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 13:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P1 13:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 12:43
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 11:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 11:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 09:49
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 09:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Dan Vladar
P1 09:16
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P1 09:16
Penalty to Cam York 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 09:00
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
P1 09:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 07:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P1 07:16
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 07:16
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:08
Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
P1 06:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 05:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P1 05:37
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
P1 05:09
Josh Norris won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 05:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 03:22
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in defensive zone
P1 02:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cam York
P1 01:52
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 01:52
Penalty to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Christian Dvorak) (Served by Jason Zucker)
P1 00:21
Owen Tippett credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
P1 00:20
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
P1 00:07
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Noah Cates won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Sabres
22Shots on Goal14
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits27
8Shots Blocked9
5Giveaways18
FlyersPHI
SabresBUF
22Shots on Goal14
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits27
8Shots Blocked9
5Giveaways18

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Flyers vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Sabres
  • Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +122, Sabres -138

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 44%
  • Sabres: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 44%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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