Dolphins vs. Patriots Preview and Prediction

Dolphins vs. Patriots: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Dolphins vs. Patriots
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• NFL stats, rosters and injury reports

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Patriots favored at -11
• Total (Over/Under): 45.5
• Moneyline Odds: Dolphins +490, Patriots -625

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Dolphins: 18%
• Patriots: 82%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Dolphins 18-27 Patriots.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Dolphins a win probability of 18%, while the Patriots have a win probability of 82%.

Summary

The Dolphins face off against the Patriots in the NFL at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, January 4, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Dolphins vs. Patriots predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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