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Lakers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
110
Jan 25, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Jan 25, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 37 | 28 | 14 | 37 | 116 |
Mavericks | 28 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
87%
13%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 37 | 28 | 14 | 37 | 116 |
Mavericks | 28 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 110 |
Q4 00:10 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:51 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:26 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
116-110
Mavericks personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-108
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-107
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
112-107
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-107
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-106
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-105
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-106
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
101-104
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Lakers personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-103
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers violation
P.J. Washington personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-102
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Max Christie defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
87-101
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
87-99
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
85-99
Instant replay
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-97
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
82-95
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
80-93
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
LeBron James defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
79-93
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Drew Timme defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
79-89
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
79-87
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-83
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
77-83
Lakers turnover
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
77-81
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
77-79
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point tip layup
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
77-77
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
74-77
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-74
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
71-72
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
69-72
Lakers turnover
Mavericks defensive rebound
Lakers turnover
LeBron James misses two point driving layup
LeBron James defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart)
Lakers personal foul
Max Christie defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
69-60
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
67-56
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-52
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers personal foul
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-52
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
64-51
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
59-49
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
59-47
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
57-47
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Drew Timme)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
55-41
Mavericks turnover
Lakers personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-40
LeBron James offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Drew Timme offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
46-38
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-34
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Drew Timme)
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-35
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-33
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
40-31
Lakers personal foul
Klay Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-27
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
34-28
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Jarred Vanderbilt misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, P.J. Washington)
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
34-25
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
29-25
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
25-23
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-20
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, P.J. Washington)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-20
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
21-20
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
18-18
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
16-16
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-16
Mavericks personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-14
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-14
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
11-14
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
11-11
LeBron James defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-11
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-4
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-4
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
2-4
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
2-0
Start of 1st Quarter
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 12 | J. LaRavia | 13 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 33 | 8 | 11 |
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| F | 28 | R. Hachimura | 17 | 8 | 1 |
| F | 23 | L. James | 17 | 8 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 24 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 13 | N. Marshall | 21 | 11 | 2 |
| F | 32 | C. Flagg | 16 | 7 | 6 |
| G | 31 | K. Thompson | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lakers vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Mavericks
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers -167, Mavericks +152
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 65%
- Mavericks: 35%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 118-114 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 65%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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