Kings vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Cavaliers NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Kings
118
123
Jan 23, 7:30 PM ET Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Jan 23, 7:30 PM ET Rocket Arena
TEAM12 3 4 T
Kings
35 36 47 0 118
Cavaliers
35 33 55 0 123
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    <1%
  • Cavaliers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Kings
35 36 47 0 118
Cavaliers
35 33 55 0 123
Q4 00:08 DeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup
Q4 00:45 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Domantas Sabonis misses two point running layup
Q4 1:34 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Donovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
Q4 3:23 Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:25 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Evan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 7:17 Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
Play by Play
Q4 00:08
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup
118-123
Q4 00:14
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q4 00:15
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-123
Q4 00:43
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q4 00:45
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48
Jaylon Tyson turnover (Malik Monk steals)
Q4 1:28
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q4 1:34
Domantas Sabonis misses two point running layup
Q4 1:34
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q4 1:36
Cavaliers turnover
Q4 1:51
DeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 1:56
Cavaliers turnover
Q4 2:12
Jaylon Tyson personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Q4 2:40
Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58
+2
Donovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
118-123
Q4 3:23
Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:43
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Q4 4:24
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q4 5:08
Dennis Schroder turnover (lost ball) (Dean Wade steals)
Q4 5:25
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:42
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q4 5:44
Evan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 6:06
Cavaliers personal foul
Q4 6:06
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-123
Q4 6:20
Kings turnover
Q4 7:17
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
93-104
Q4 7:45
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:02
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q4 8:29
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:49
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q4 8:49
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan)
Q4 9:05
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
93-104
Q4 9:06
Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
Q4 9:10
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:27
Nae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul
Q4 9:35
+2
Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q4 9:48
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:06
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q4 10:18
De'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 10:31
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:31
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Q4 10:31
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell)
Q4 10:48
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 10:48
+2
Larry Nance Jr. makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q4 10:53
Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 11:09
Zach LaVine personal foul
Q4 11:14
Malik Monk turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)
Q4 11:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:36
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis)
Q4 12:00
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
Q3 00:03
Zach LaVine misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:09
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 00:13
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:35
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q3 00:53
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q3 1:03
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q3 1:22
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell)
Q3 1:24
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
90-95
Q3 1:30
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Q3 1:45
Jarrett Allen misses two point tip layup
Q3 1:45
Nique Clifford shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)
Q3 1:45
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-95
Q3 1:45
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Q3 1:45
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 1:45
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
118-123
Q3 1:46
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:39
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 2:55
+2
De'Andre Hunter makes two point jump shot
90-95
Q3 3:19
Nique Clifford personal foul
Q3 3:19
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
Q3 3:19
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q3 3:29
Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:56
Larry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:01
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Instant replay (Challenge)
Q3 4:44
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Q3 4:44
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q3 4:44
Instant replay
Q3 4:44
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
Q3 4:46
Cavaliers challenge timeout
Q3 4:46
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
Q3 4:46
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan)
Q3 4:52
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Q3 4:54
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:33
Kings 60 second timeout
Q3 5:44
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Q3 5:45
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:22
Precious Achiuwa turnover (3-second violation)
Q3 6:36
Cavaliers personal foul
Q3 6:36
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes technical free throw 1 of 1
90-95
Q3 6:36
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Q3 6:38
Kings personal foul
Q3 6:38
Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 6:55
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:21
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Q3 7:23
De'Andre Hunter misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 7:35
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)
84-87
Q3 7:35
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 7:40
Zach LaVine turnover (Jarrett Allen steals)
Q3 8:52
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-76
Q3 8:52
Kings personal foul
Q3 9:01
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Q3 9:06
DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:31
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:40
Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:45
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:02
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Q3 11:11
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q3 11:15
Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:47
Donovan Mitchell personal foul
Q2 00:00
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 00:01
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 00:01
Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:01
Kings defensive rebound
Q2 00:01
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-68
Q2 00:20
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Q2 00:48
Russell Westbrook misses two point driving layup
Q2 00:52
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:06
Kings personal foul
Q2 1:27
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q2 2:19
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
69-68
Q2 2:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:48
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
Q2 3:09
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
61-60
Q2 3:12
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q2 3:32
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
59-60
Q2 3:53
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Q2 4:05
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
56-58
Q2 4:19
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
54-57
Q2 4:35
Zach LaVine misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q2 4:41
Malik Monk misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:02
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
54-55
Q2 5:11
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
54-55
Q2 5:13
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q2 5:22
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Q2 5:31
Precious Achiuwa personal foul
Q2 5:31
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
Q2 5:31
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
Q2 6:02
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q2 6:06
Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:14
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:39
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
50-52
Q2 6:58
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Q2 7:00
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:13
Kings personal foul
Q2 7:17
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q2 7:29
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:40
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 7:40
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Craig Porter Jr., Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
Q2 7:49
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
47-49
Q2 8:24
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-46
Q2 8:26
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 8:29
Domantas Sabonis turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)
Q2 8:49
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:49
Kings personal foul
Q2 8:49
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
44-44
Q2 8:49
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Tyrese Proctor, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen)
Q2 8:55
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:00
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:11
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 9:45
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 9:45
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-41
Q2 9:45
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Q2 9:45
DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 10:13
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Q2 10:16
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:27
Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Q2 10:41
Kings personal foul
Q2 10:41
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 10:55
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 11:02
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q2 11:15
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
39-37
Q2 11:33
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
37-37
Q1 00:00
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Cavaliers lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Tyrese Proctor, Evan Mobley, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell)
Q1 00:30
Kings offensive rebound
Q1 00:30
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 00:30
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-33
Q1 00:30
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-33
Q1 1:03
Kings defensive rebound
Q1 1:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:13
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 1:13
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-31
Q1 1:22
Kings personal foul
Q1 1:22
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Q1 1:22
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis)
Q1 1:52
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:06
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
25-29
Q1 2:21
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-29
Q1 2:32
Kings personal foul
Q1 2:35
Kings personal foul
Q1 2:44
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
22-27
Q1 3:02
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q1 3:04
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:12
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:29
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
20-27
Q1 3:57
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
18-25
Q1 4:10
Kings turnover
Q1 4:11
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Q1 4:56
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
13-25
Q1 5:07
Kings personal foul
Q1 5:07
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-25
Q1 6:09
Kings defensive rebound
Q1 6:09
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Q1 6:42
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
Q1 6:57
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
6-20
Q1 7:05
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Q1 7:32
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:43
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
6-16
Q1 7:44
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Q1 7:53
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Q1 8:32
Kings 60 second timeout
Q1 8:36
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
2-16
Q1 9:00
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-13
Q1 9:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:40
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q1 9:43
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:08
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Q1 10:29
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-7
Q1 11:03
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Q1 11:05
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:09
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Q1 11:11
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud, DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa)
Box Score
Kings
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

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Kings vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Kings vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Kings +475, Cavaliers -575

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Kings: 17%
  • Cavaliers: 83%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 110-122 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 17%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 83%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kings vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.