Pistons vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Pelicans NBA game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pistons
112
104
Smoothie King Center
Pelicans
Smoothie King Center
TEAM1234T
Pistons
34 26 52 0 112
Pelicans
30 24 47 3 104
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pistons
    >99%
  • Pelicans
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pistons
34 26 52 0 112
Pelicans
30 24 47 3 104
Q4 00:11 Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Jordan Poole misses three point running jump shot
Q4 00:56 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Jalen Duren misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:25 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:39 Saddiq Bey misses two point driving layup
Q4 5:03 Marcus Sasser misses three point running pullup jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:11
    +3
    Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
    112-104
  2. Q4 00:48
    Jordan Poole misses three point running jump shot
  3. Q4 00:54
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:56
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:56
    Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  6. Q4 00:56
    Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  7. Q4 1:16
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:20
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  10. Q4 1:44
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-101
  11. Q4 2:06
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    112-101
  12. Q4 2:20
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    112-101
  13. Q4 2:25
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  14. Q4 2:28
    Jalen Duren misses two point pullup jump shot
  15. Q4 2:47
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-101
  16. Q4 2:58
    +1
    Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-96
  17. Q4 2:58
    Jordan Poole personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
  18. Q4 2:58
    Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  19. Q4 3:33
    Pelicans personal foul
  20. Q4 3:44
    Pistons offensive rebound
  21. Q4 4:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  22. Q4 4:13
    Pistons defensive rebound
  23. Q4 4:25
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    103-96
  24. Q4 4:34
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  25. Q4 4:38
    Saddiq Bey turnover (bad pass) (Ausar Thompson steals)
  26. Q4 4:39
    Saddiq Bey misses two point driving layup
  27. Q4 4:51
    Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  28. Q4 4:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  29. Q4 4:51
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy)
  30. Q4 4:56
    Javonte Green turnover
  31. Q4 5:03
    Marcus Sasser misses three point running pullup jump shot
  32. Q4 5:15
    Micah Peavy offensive rebound
  33. Q4 5:41
    +3
    Micah Peavy makes three point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)
    112-101
  34. Q4 6:15
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-101
  35. Q4 6:50
    Pistons personal foul
  36. Q4 6:50
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-101
  37. Q4 7:09
    Pistons turnover
  38. Q4 7:10
    Micah Peavy blocks Ronald Holland II's two point driving layup
  39. Q4 7:25
    Pistons defensive rebound
  40. Q4 7:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  41. Q4 7:27
    Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
  42. Q4 7:54
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    112-101
  43. Q4 8:41
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 8:58
    Pistons turnover
  45. Q4 9:18
    Pelicans turnover (shot clock violation)
  46. Q4 9:18
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  47. Q4 9:44
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  48. Q4 9:44
    Pelicans turnover (Javonte Green steals)
  49. Q4 9:44
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    112-101
  50. Q4 9:44
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Kevon Looney)
  51. Q4 9:52
    Kevon Looney defensive rebound
  52. Q4 10:01
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  53. Q4 10:05
    Jordan Poole misses three point stepback jump shot
  54. Q4 10:29
    Javonte Green defensive rebound
  55. Q4 10:33
    Pistons personal foul
  56. Q4 10:33
    Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  57. Q4 10:46
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    112-101
  58. Q4 10:51
    Pelicans turnover
  59. Q4 11:14
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  60. Q4 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
  61. Q3 00:01
    Pelicans turnover
  62. Q3 00:25
    Kevon Looney defensive rebound
  63. Q3 00:42
    Kevon Looney defensive rebound
  64. Q3 00:45
    Ronald Holland II misses two point jump shot
  65. Q3 00:53
    Pistons offensive rebound
  66. Q3 00:53
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
  67. Q3 00:54
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  68. Q3 1:13
    +2
    Micah Peavy makes two point putback layup
    89-82
  69. Q3 1:33
    Pistons turnover
  70. Q3 1:56
    Kevon Looney offensive rebound
  71. Q3 2:14
    Yves Missi personal foul
  72. Q3 2:26
    Pistons turnover
  73. Q3 2:26
    Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
  74. Q3 2:26
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Kevon Looney)
  75. Q3 2:53
    +2
    Jeremiah Fears makes two point tip layup
    88-80
  76. Q3 2:58
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  77. Q3 3:22
    +2
    Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot
    88-80
  78. Q3 3:49
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  79. Q3 3:54
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 4:13
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  81. Q3 4:16
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 4:22
    Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
  83. Q3 4:57
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  84. Q3 5:04
    Kevon Looney defensive rebound
  85. Q3 5:33
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-76
  86. Q3 5:33
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  87. Q3 5:33
    Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
  88. Q3 5:33
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-82
  89. Q3 5:45
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Micah Peavy)
  90. Q3 6:06
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-82
  91. Q3 6:06
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-82
  92. Q3 6:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  93. Q3 6:38
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  94. Q3 7:21
    Pistons turnover
  95. Q3 7:34
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    78-70
  96. Q3 7:34
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  97. Q3 7:38
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  98. Q3 8:09
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  99. Q3 8:17
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
  100. Q3 8:35
    Derik Queen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  101. Q3 8:48
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  102. Q3 8:59
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    78-68
  103. Q3 9:11
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    78-68
  104. Q3 9:29
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 10:00
    Pelicans personal foul
  106. Q3 10:00
    +1
    Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    78-68
  107. Q3 10:06
    Derik Queen offensive rebound
  108. Q3 10:34
    Pistons personal foul
  109. Q3 10:34
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-68
  110. Q3 10:38
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  111. Q3 10:46
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  112. Q3 10:58
    Pistons turnover
  113. Q3 11:31
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    78-68
  114. Q3 11:39
    Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
  115. Q3 11:46
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  116. Q3 11:49
    Pistons personal foul
  117. Q3 11:49
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  118. Q2 00:00
    Ausar Thompson misses two point turnaround jump shot
  119. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  120. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
  121. Q3 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  122. Q2 00:30
    +2
    Ausar Thompson makes two point tip layup
    60-54
  123. Q2 00:55
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  124. Q2 1:12
    Pistons personal foul
  125. Q2 1:12
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-54
  126. Q2 1:19
    Pistons offensive rebound
  127. Q2 1:19
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
  128. Q2 1:35
    Pistons turnover
  129. Q2 1:48
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  130. Q2 2:06
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    60-54
  131. Q2 2:31
    Saddiq Bey turnover
  132. Q2 2:46
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-54
  133. Q2 2:46
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-54
  134. Q2 2:53
    Pistons personal foul
  135. Q2 2:53
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-53
  136. Q2 2:53
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  137. Q2 2:53
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-54
  138. Q2 3:02
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  139. Q2 3:13
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  140. Q2 3:23
    Duncan Robinson misses two point driving layup
  141. Q2 3:35
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  142. Q2 3:37
    Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  143. Q2 3:45
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  144. Q2 3:50
    Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 3:52
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  146. Q2 4:45
    +1
    Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-49
  147. Q2 5:31
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    54-47
  148. Q2 5:53
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  149. Q2 5:53
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaden Ivey, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  150. Q2 6:00
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  151. Q2 6:07
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  152. Q2 6:10
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  153. Q2 6:23
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    52-45
  154. Q2 6:29
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  155. Q2 6:43
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  156. Q2 6:54
    Pistons personal foul
  157. Q2 6:54
    +1
    Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-42
  158. Q2 6:54
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens)
  159. Q2 6:54
    +1
    Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    52-43
  160. Q2 7:15
    Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
  161. Q2 7:20
    Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
  162. Q2 7:42
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    50-41
  163. Q2 8:07
    Pelicans personal foul
  164. Q2 8:07
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy)
  165. Q2 8:10
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  166. Q2 8:44
    Pistons personal foul
  167. Q2 8:44
    Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
  168. Q2 8:51
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  169. Q2 9:13
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    45-38
  170. Q2 9:18
    Pistons turnover
  171. Q2 9:54
    Micah Peavy offensive rebound
  172. Q2 9:58
    Micah Peavy offensive rebound
  173. Q2 10:22
    Pistons violation
  174. Q2 10:24
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    43-32
  175. Q2 10:30
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 10:46
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    39-32
  177. Q2 10:46
    Pelicans personal foul
  178. Q2 11:21
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  179. Q2 11:25
    Pelicans turnover
  180. Q2 11:34
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-30
  181. Q2 11:34
    Ronald Holland II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  182. Q2 11:36
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  183. Q1 00:00
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  184. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  185. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
  186. Q1 00:10
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    34-30
  187. Q1 00:43
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    34-25
  188. Q1 1:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    31-25
  189. Q1 1:22
    Pelicans turnover
  190. Q1 1:27
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  191. Q1 1:27
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  192. Q1 1:38
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  193. Q1 1:41
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  194. Q1 2:04
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    29-25
  195. Q1 2:16
    Pistons turnover
  196. Q1 2:17
    Pistons offensive rebound
  197. Q1 2:31
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  198. Q1 2:31
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
  199. Q1 2:34
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  200. Q1 2:44
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  201. Q1 2:55
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    29-20
  202. Q1 3:01
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  203. Q1 3:26
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  204. Q1 3:26
    Pelicans personal foul
  205. Q1 3:28
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  206. Q1 3:51
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy)
  207. Q1 3:51
    +2
    Jordan Poole makes two point floating jump shot
    29-20
  208. Q1 3:52
    Pelicans turnover
  209. Q1 3:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  210. Q1 3:52
    Jalen Duren turnover
  211. Q1 4:23
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    24-17
  212. Q1 4:46
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II)
  213. Q1 5:02
    Pistons defensive rebound
  214. Q1 5:02
    Pelicans personal foul
  215. Q1 5:02
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II)
  216. Q1 5:05
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  217. Q1 5:29
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    24-14
  218. Q1 5:58
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  219. Q1 6:36
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    19-12
  220. Q1 6:36
    Pelicans turnover
  221. Q1 6:38
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  222. Q1 7:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    17-11
  223. Q1 7:01
    Pistons personal foul
  224. Q1 7:01
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    17-12
  225. Q1 7:14
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  226. Q1 7:14
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-9
  227. Q1 7:14
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaden Ivey, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  228. Q1 7:14
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-9
  229. Q1 7:18
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    15-9
  230. Q1 7:21
    Pelicans turnover
  231. Q1 7:21
    Pistons turnover
  232. Q1 7:40
    Pistons personal foul
  233. Q1 7:41
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  234. Q1 8:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    13-7
  235. Q1 8:05
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  236. Q1 8:18
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  237. Q1 8:22
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  238. Q1 8:27
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  239. Q1 8:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    13-5
  240. Q1 8:30
    Pistons personal foul
  241. Q1 8:30
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  242. Q1 8:34
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  243. Q1 9:08
    Pistons personal foul
  244. Q1 9:15
    Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)
  245. Q1 9:29
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  246. Q1 9:36
    Trey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds step)
  247. Q1 9:43
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  248. Q1 10:04
    +3
    Duncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
    10-0
  249. Q1 10:12
    Daniss Jenkins turnover (bad pass) (Jeremiah Fears steals)
  250. Q1 10:37
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  251. Q1 10:49
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  252. Q1 11:01
    +2
    Ausar Thompson makes two point driving layup
    7-0
  253. Q1 11:10
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  254. Q1 11:15
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  255. Q1 11:32
    Jeremiah Fears turnover (bad pass) (Daniss Jenkins steals)
  256. Q1 11:44
    +2
    Jalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
    2-0
  257. Q1 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  258. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Pistons
PosPlayerPts
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts

Pistons vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pistons vs. Pelicans
  • Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -7
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pistons -270, Pelicans +320

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pistons: 71%
  • Pelicans: 29%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 118-112 Pelicans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 71%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pistons vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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