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Pistons vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Pelicans NBA game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
112
104
Jan 22, 1AM Smoothie King Center
Jan 22, 1AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 34 | 26 | 52 | 0 | 112 |
Pelicans | 30 | 24 | 47 | 3 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 34 | 26 | 52 | 0 | 112 |
Pelicans | 30 | 24 | 47 | 3 | 104 |
Q4 00:11 Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Jordan Poole misses three point running jump shot
Q4 00:56 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Jalen Duren misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:25 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:39 Saddiq Bey misses two point driving layup
Q4 5:03 Marcus Sasser misses three point running pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+3
Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
112-104
Jordan Poole misses three point running jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-101
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
112-101
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
112-101
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-101
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-96
Jordan Poole personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans personal foul
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-96
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey turnover (bad pass) (Ausar Thompson steals)
Saddiq Bey misses two point driving layup
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy)
Javonte Green turnover
Marcus Sasser misses three point running pullup jump shot
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
+3
Micah Peavy makes three point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)
112-101
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-101
Pistons personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-101
Pistons turnover
Micah Peavy blocks Ronald Holland II's two point driving layup
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
112-101
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pelicans turnover (shot clock violation)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans turnover (Javonte Green steals)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
112-101
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Kevon Looney)
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point stepback jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
112-101
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
Pelicans turnover
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Ronald Holland II misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Micah Peavy makes two point putback layup
89-82
Pistons turnover
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Yves Missi personal foul
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Kevon Looney)
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point tip layup
88-80
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot
88-80
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-76
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-82
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Micah Peavy)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-82
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-82
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-70
Pistons 60 second timeout
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Derik Queen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
78-68
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-68
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-68
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-68
Pelicans defensive rebound
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
78-68
Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pelicans offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson misses two point turnaround jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point tip layup
60-54
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-54
Pistons offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
Pistons turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
60-54
Saddiq Bey turnover
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-54
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-54
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-53
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-54
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses two point driving layup
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-49
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-47
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaden Ivey, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
52-45
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-42
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens)
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-43
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
50-41
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Jordan Poole, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
45-38
Pistons turnover
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Pistons violation
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
43-32
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
39-32
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans turnover
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-30
Ronald Holland II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
34-30
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
34-25
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-25
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
29-25
Pistons turnover
Pistons offensive rebound
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
29-20
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy)
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point floating jump shot
29-20
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Duren turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
24-17
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
24-14
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-12
Pelicans turnover
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
17-11
Pistons personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
17-12
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-9
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaden Ivey, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-9
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
15-9
Pelicans turnover
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
13-7
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
13-5
Pistons personal foul
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Trey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds step)
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
10-0
Daniss Jenkins turnover (bad pass) (Jeremiah Fears steals)
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point driving layup
7-0
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears turnover (bad pass) (Daniss Jenkins steals)
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
2-0
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 10 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 20 | 15 | 3 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 12 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | J. Poole | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 41 | S. Bey | 20 | 3 | 2 |
| G-F | 14 | M. Peavy | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 25 | T. Murphy III | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| C | 21 | Y. Missi | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pistons vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons -270, Pelicans +320
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 71%
- Pelicans: 29%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 118-112 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 71%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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