Raptors vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Warriors NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Raptors
145
127
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Raptors
41 18 56 30 145
Warriors
28 3 67 29 127
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Raptors
    >99%
  • Warriors
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Raptors
41 18 56 30 145
Warriors
28 3 67 29 127
Q4 00:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:33 Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:29 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:09 Sandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:49 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:02 Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
Q4 5:10 Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:27 Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:49
    Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:53
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 1:01
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  4. Q4 1:21
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    143-125
  5. Q4 1:44
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  6. Q4 1:58
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    140-122
  7. Q4 2:02
    Warriors turnover
  8. Q4 2:29
    Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
  9. Q4 2:33
    Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
  10. Q4 2:33
    Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball)
  11. Q4 2:41
    Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball) (Sandro Mamukelashvili steals)
  12. Q4 3:10
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    140-122
  13. Q4 3:10
    Pat Spencer personal foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)
  14. Q4 3:29
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    140-122
  15. Q4 3:51
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    145-127
  16. Q4 4:09
    +3
    Sandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot
    140-122
  17. Q4 4:49
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    140-122
  18. Q4 5:02
    +3
    Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    140-122
  19. Q4 5:10
    +2
    Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot
    119-98
  20. Q4 5:27
    +3
    Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    140-122
  21. Q4 5:46
    Warriors personal foul
  22. Q4 5:46
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  23. Q4 5:46
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    145-127
  24. Q4 5:55
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 6:06
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    119-98
  26. Q4 6:07
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  27. Q4 6:10
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 6:25
    Immanuel Quickley personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
  29. Q4 6:36
    Raptors turnover
  30. Q4 7:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    119-98
  31. Q4 7:47
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 8:19
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  33. Q4 8:28
    Sandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
  34. Q4 9:06
    Raptors turnover
  35. Q4 9:21
    +3
    Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
    119-98
  36. Q4 9:25
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  37. Q4 9:31
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    119-98
  38. Q4 9:50
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul
  39. Q4 9:50
    +1
    Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-98
  40. Q4 10:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-98
  41. Q4 10:24
    Scottie Barnes personal foul
  42. Q4 10:24
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 10:43
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    115-98
  44. Q4 11:01
    Warriors turnover
  45. Q4 11:12
    Jonathan Kuminga personal foul
  46. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay (Request)
  47. Q3 00:04
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-87
  48. Q3 00:04
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Ochai Agbaji, Jonathan Mogbo, A.J. Lawson)
  49. Q3 00:22
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  50. Q3 00:27
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  51. Q3 00:36
    +2
    A.J. Lawson makes two point jump shot
    104-87
  52. Q3 00:36
    Immanuel Quickley blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point layup
  53. Q3 00:54
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    104-87
  54. Q3 00:54
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  55. Q3 1:09
    Jonathan Mogbo misses two point layup
  56. Q3 1:21
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    104-84
  57. Q3 1:49
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-98
  58. Q3 2:06
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  59. Q3 2:12
    Jamison Battle offensive rebound
  60. Q3 2:12
    Raptors offensive rebound
  61. Q3 2:26
    Raptors personal foul
  62. Q3 2:26
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-98
  63. Q3 2:32
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    115-98
  64. Q3 2:41
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, A.J. Lawson)
  65. Q3 2:59
    +2
    Jamison Battle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Scottie Barnes assists)
    99-73
  66. Q3 2:59
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Jamison Battle draws the foul)
  67. Q3 3:21
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    99-73
  68. Q3 3:25
    Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
  69. Q3 3:29
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  70. Q3 3:49
    A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
  71. Q3 3:58
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  72. Q3 4:09
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-73
  73. Q3 4:09
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-73
  74. Q3 4:09
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, A.J. Lawson)
  75. Q3 4:14
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  76. Q3 4:18
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 4:48
    Warriors personal foul
  78. Q3 4:48
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  79. Q3 4:50
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  80. Q3 5:13
    De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
  81. Q3 5:43
    Raptors turnover
  82. Q3 5:43
    Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  83. Q3 6:03
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  84. Q3 6:03
    Raptors lineup change (Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  85. Q3 6:12
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody)
  86. Q3 6:12
    Raptors turnover
  87. Q3 6:25
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  88. Q3 6:29
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  89. Q3 6:38
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  90. Q3 7:23
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    91-63
  91. Q3 7:33
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    91-63
  92. Q3 7:51
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  93. Q3 7:51
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  94. Q3 7:59
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    91-63
  95. Q3 8:17
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    91-63
  96. Q3 8:29
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  97. Q3 8:45
    Gradey Dick personal foul
  98. Q3 8:45
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    91-63
  99. Q3 8:45
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji)
  100. Q3 8:52
    Raptors turnover
  101. Q3 8:56
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
    91-63
  102. Q3 9:03
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  103. Q3 9:22
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    91-63
  104. Q3 9:34
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point cutting layup (Gui Santos assists)
    59-31
  105. Q3 9:38
    Raptors personal foul
  106. Q3 9:45
    +1
    Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-31
  107. Q3 10:06
    Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
  108. Q3 10:31
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    59-31
  109. Q3 10:46
    +3
    Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    59-31
  110. Q3 10:49
    Immanuel Quickley personal foul (Loose ball) (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
  111. Q3 10:51
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 11:01
    Gradey Dick personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  113. Q3 11:13
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    59-31
  114. Q3 11:26
    Gradey Dick offensive rebound
  115. Q3 11:50
    Draymond Green turnover
  116. Q2 00:00
    Raptors turnover
  117. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  118. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  119. Q2 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  120. Q2 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  121. Q2 00:25
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  122. Q2 00:25
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    59-31
  123. Q2 00:30
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  124. Q2 00:42
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  125. Q2 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  126. Q2 1:34
    +2
    Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
    59-31
  127. Q2 1:47
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-31
  128. Q2 1:47
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
  129. Q2 2:04
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  130. Q2 2:04
    Immanuel Quickley personal foul
  131. Q2 2:04
    Warriors offensive rebound
  132. Q2 2:04
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  133. Q2 2:09
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  134. Q2 2:37
    Raptors personal foul
  135. Q2 2:44
    Stephen Curry misses two point layup
  136. Q2 2:50
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  137. Q2 2:52
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  138. Q2 3:01
    Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
  139. Q2 3:18
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  140. Q2 3:33
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  141. Q2 3:35
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
    59-31
  142. Q2 3:58
    +2
    Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)
    59-31
  143. Q2 4:04
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  144. Q2 4:11
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  145. Q2 4:28
    Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
  146. Q2 4:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    59-31
  147. Q2 4:44
    +2
    Sandro Mamukelashvili makes two point cutting dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)
    59-31
  148. Q2 5:17
    Raptors defensive rebound
  149. Q2 5:18
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  150. Q2 5:18
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  151. Q2 5:40
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  152. Q2 5:43
    Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
  153. Q2 5:58
    Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
  154. Q2 6:01
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  155. Q2 6:11
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (Gradey Dick steals)
  156. Q2 6:35
    De'Anthony Melton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  157. Q2 7:03
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 7:20
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    54-31
  159. Q2 7:21
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  160. Q2 7:21
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  161. Q2 7:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  162. Q2 7:39
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    52-31
  163. Q2 7:51
    Stoppage (Other)
  164. Q2 8:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 8:36
    Jonathan Mogbo offensive rebound
  166. Q2 8:36
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  167. Q2 8:40
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  168. Q2 9:03
    Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
  169. Q2 9:17
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  170. Q2 9:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  171. Q2 9:38
    Raptors defensive rebound
  172. Q2 9:44
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  173. Q2 9:46
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  174. Q2 9:46
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  175. Q2 9:59
    +3
    Jamal Shead makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)
    46-29
  176. Q2 10:14
    Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
  177. Q2 10:34
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  178. Q2 10:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  179. Q2 11:19
    Jamison Battle defensive rebound
  180. Q2 11:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  181. Q2 11:34
    Warriors personal foul
  182. Q2 11:34
    +1
    A.J. Lawson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-29
  183. Q2 11:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  184. Q2 11:42
    Warriors offensive rebound
  185. Q2 11:42
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    41-29
  186. Q1 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  187. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  188. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  189. Q1 00:34
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  190. Q1 00:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  191. Q1 00:53
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    38-26
  192. Q1 1:02
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 1:15
    Raptors personal foul
  194. Q1 1:15
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  195. Q1 1:15
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-26
  196. Q1 1:26
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  197. Q1 1:34
    Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
  198. Q1 1:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 1:45
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  200. Q1 1:54
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  201. Q1 2:02
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-24
  202. Q1 2:02
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  203. Q1 2:19
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    36-23
  204. Q1 2:29
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    34-23
  205. Q1 2:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  206. Q1 2:57
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    34-21
  207. Q1 3:06
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  208. Q1 3:06
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  209. Q1 3:22
    Raptors turnover
  210. Q1 3:22
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski)
  211. Q1 3:52
    +2
    Ochai Agbaji makes two point jump shot
    32-15
  212. Q1 3:54
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  213. Q1 4:00
    De'Anthony Melton turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Ingram steals)
  214. Q1 4:08
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    30-15
  215. Q1 4:14
    Warriors personal foul
  216. Q1 4:26
    Raptors personal foul
  217. Q1 4:26
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  218. Q1 4:26
    Brandon Ingram turnover
  219. Q1 4:45
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    28-15
  220. Q1 5:06
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    28-12
  221. Q1 5:22
    Gradey Dick offensive rebound
  222. Q1 5:22
    Warriors personal foul
  223. Q1 5:22
    +1
    Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-10
  224. Q1 5:26
    Warriors turnover
  225. Q1 5:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  226. Q1 5:56
    +3
    Immanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
    26-10
  227. Q1 6:02
    Stephen Curry misses two point layup
  228. Q1 6:13
    Gradey Dick turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  229. Q1 6:22
    Immanuel Quickley turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)
  230. Q1 6:50
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  231. Q1 7:00
    Raptors lineup change (Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
  232. Q1 7:00
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  233. Q1 7:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  234. Q1 7:12
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
  235. Q1 7:15
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  236. Q1 7:24
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  237. Q1 7:41
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    21-10
  238. Q1 7:55
    Quinten Post misses two point turnaround hook shot
  239. Q1 8:31
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
  240. Q1 8:39
    +2
    Gradey Dick makes two point cutting layup (Scottie Barnes assists)
    18-8
  241. Q1 9:09
    +2
    Brandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot
    16-6
  242. Q1 9:24
    Scottie Barnes defensive goaltending violation
  243. Q1 9:41
    +1
    Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    13-4
  244. Q1 9:46
    Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
  245. Q1 9:54
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Stephen Curry assists)
    12-4
  246. Q1 10:12
    +2
    Stephen Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    10-2
  247. Q1 10:34
    Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
  248. Q1 10:41
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  249. Q1 10:58
    +3
    Immanuel Quickley makes three point running jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
    7-0
  250. Q1 11:03
    Draymond Green misses two point driving layup
  251. Q1 11:24
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  252. Q1 11:41
    +2
    Scottie Barnes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
    2-0
  253. Q1 12:00
    Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram)
  254. Q1 12:00
    Scottie Barnes vs. Quinten Post (Immanuel Quickley gains possession)
Box Score
Raptors
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Raptors vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Raptors vs. Warriors
  • Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Raptors +150, Warriors -162

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Raptors: 36%
  • Warriors: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 110-114 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 36%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Raptors vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.