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Raptors vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Warriors NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
145
127
Jan 21, 3AM Chase Center
Jan 21, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 41 | 18 | 56 | 30 | 145 |
Warriors | 28 | 3 | 67 | 29 | 127 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 41 | 18 | 56 | 30 | 145 |
Warriors | 28 | 3 | 67 | 29 | 127 |
Q4 00:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:33 Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:29 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:09 Sandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:49 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:02 Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
Q4 5:10 Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:27 Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
143-125
Raptors 60 second timeout
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
140-122
Warriors turnover
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball)
Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball) (Sandro Mamukelashvili steals)
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-122
Pat Spencer personal foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
140-122
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
145-127
+3
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot
140-122
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
140-122
+3
Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
140-122
+2
Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot
119-98
+3
Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
140-122
Warriors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
145-127
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-98
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Immanuel Quickley personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
Raptors turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
119-98
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Sandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
Raptors turnover
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
119-98
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
119-98
De'Anthony Melton personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-98
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-98
Scottie Barnes personal foul
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
115-98
Warriors turnover
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul
Instant replay (Request)
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-87
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Ochai Agbaji, Jonathan Mogbo, A.J. Lawson)
Quinten Post offensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
+2
A.J. Lawson makes two point jump shot
104-87
Immanuel Quickley blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point layup
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 3
104-87
Raptors 60 second timeout
Jonathan Mogbo misses two point layup
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
104-84
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-98
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Jamison Battle offensive rebound
Raptors offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-98
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
115-98
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, A.J. Lawson)
+2
Jamison Battle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Scottie Barnes assists)
99-73
De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Jamison Battle draws the foul)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
99-73
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-73
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-73
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, A.J. Lawson)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Moses Moody)
Raptors turnover
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-63
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
91-63
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
91-63
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
91-63
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Gradey Dick personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-63
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji)
Raptors turnover
+2
Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
91-63
Moses Moody offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
91-63
+2
Draymond Green makes two point cutting layup (Gui Santos assists)
59-31
Raptors personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-31
Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-31
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
59-31
Immanuel Quickley personal foul (Loose ball) (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Gradey Dick personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
59-31
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
Draymond Green turnover
Raptors turnover
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
Draymond Green offensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
59-31
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
59-31
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-31
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Immanuel Quickley personal foul
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Stephen Curry misses two point layup
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
59-31
+2
Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)
59-31
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-31
+2
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes two point cutting dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)
59-31
Raptors defensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski turnover (Gradey Dick steals)
De'Anthony Melton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
54-31
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
52-31
Stoppage (Other)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Mogbo offensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Jamal Shead makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)
46-29
Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
A.J. Lawson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-29
Warriors misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
38-26
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-26
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-24
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-23
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
34-23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
34-21
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Raptors turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Ochai Agbaji makes two point jump shot
32-15
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Ingram steals)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
30-15
Warriors personal foul
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Brandon Ingram turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-15
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-12
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-10
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Immanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
26-10
Stephen Curry misses two point layup
Gradey Dick turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Immanuel Quickley turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Raptors lineup change (Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski)
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
+2
Moses Moody makes two point fadeaway jump shot
21-10
Quinten Post misses two point turnaround hook shot
Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Gradey Dick makes two point cutting layup (Scottie Barnes assists)
18-8
+2
Brandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot
16-6
Scottie Barnes defensive goaltending violation
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-4
Brandon Ingram misses two point jump shot
+2
Moses Moody makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Stephen Curry assists)
12-4
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
10-2
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Draymond Green offensive rebound
+3
Immanuel Quickley makes three point running jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
7-0
Draymond Green misses two point driving layup
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
+2
Scottie Barnes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)
2-0
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram)
Scottie Barnes vs. Quinten Post (Immanuel Quickley gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 77 | J. Battle | 9 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 55 | A. Martin | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 17 | G. Temple | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 2 | J. Mogbo | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| G | 0 | A. Lawson | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 9 | 2 | 5 |
| G | 18 | L. Cryer | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 33 | M. Leons | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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Raptors vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Raptors vs. Warriors
- Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Raptors +150, Warriors -162
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Raptors: 36%
- Warriors: 64%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 110-114 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 36%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Raptors vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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