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Hornets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hornets vs. Warriors NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
136
Jan 18, 1:30AM Chase Center
Jan 18, 1:30AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 28 | 56 | 27 | 0 | 116 |
Warriors | 39 | 58 | 33 | 0 | 136 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 28 | 56 | 27 | 0 | 116 |
Warriors | 39 | 58 | 33 | 0 | 136 |
Q4 00:15 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Collin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:07 Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Pat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Tre Mann assists)
Q4 1:54 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Pat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Tre Mann assists)
Q4 2:18 Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Collin Sexton misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
111-130
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-130
Hornets offensive rebound
Collin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot
Pat Connaughton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
111-130
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
+2
Pat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Tre Mann assists)
111-130
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-130
+2
Pat Connaughton makes two point jump shot (Tre Mann assists)
111-130
Tre Mann defensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Will Richard)
Collin Sexton misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
111-130
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Josh Green, Pat Connaughton, Tre Mann)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point running jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
105-116
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+3
Will Richard makes three point stepback jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
105-116
Collin Sexton shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving layup
Will Richard defensive rebound
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Hornets personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
Miles Bridges turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Hornets defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+3
Kon Knueppel makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)
111-130
Warriors turnover
Hornets turnover
Hornets 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Tidjane Salaun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-130
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)
98-113
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Tidjane Salaun defensive rebound
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-130
Brandon Miller misses three point jump shot
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-130
LaMelo Ball turnover
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams)
Collin Sexton personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-130
Quinten Post defensive rebound
+1
Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Collin Sexton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Sion James, Grant Williams, Josh Green)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Collin Sexton makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)
111-130
De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Take) (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-130
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Warriors personal foul
+1
Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Hornets defensive rebound
+1
Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-130
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Josh Green)
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
111-130
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Miles Bridges)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Miles Bridges)
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
111-130
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
111-130
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Miles Bridges)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
111-130
Warriors turnover
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point driving layup
111-130
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Josh Green, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Warriors personal foul
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
111-130
Quinten Post shooting foul (Ryan Kalkbrenner draws the foul)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
98-113
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Sion James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-110
+1
Sion James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-130
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
94-110
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
111-130
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-71
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry)
End of 1st Half.
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
63-71
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
84-97
Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield offensive rebound
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point tip layup
57-69
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-90
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
94-110
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Draymond Green personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)
Hornets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-63
Hornets lineup change (Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
52-63
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
52-63
Miles Bridges offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
52-63
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
52-63
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
52-63
Warriors defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Buddy Hield personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Hornets personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
42-50
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Will Richard offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Kon Knueppel offensive foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Kon Knueppel turnover (offensive foul)
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Brandon Miller, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Tidjane Salaun misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton)
Hornets offensive rebound
Collin Sexton misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
42-50
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
42-50
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
34-45
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
42-50
Sion James defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
42-50
End of 1st Quarter.
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry)
+3
De'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
28-39
+2
LaMelo Ball makes two point driving layup
28-36
Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
Hornets offensive rebound
Buddy Hield blocks Kon Knueppel's two point driving layup
Buddy Hield blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving layup
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Buddy Hield offensive rebound
+2
Buddy Hield makes two point tip layup
26-33
De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Grant Williams makes two point driving layup (Kon Knueppel assists)
26-31
Grant Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Hornets lineup change (Collin Sexton, Tidjane Salaun, Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams)
Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
Al Horford blocks Brandon Miller's two point driving layup
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
LaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot
Josh Green defensive rebound
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
19-29
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
17-26
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford)
+2
Miles Bridges makes two point driving floating jump shot
17-24
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
15-24
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point driving finger roll layup
12-21
+2
Grant Williams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)
12-19
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Josh Green, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
10-19
+2
Will Richard makes two point running finger roll layup
10-16
Kon Knueppel turnover (bad pass) (Will Richard steals)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Miles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)
10-14
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Kon Knueppel offensive rebound
Miles Bridges misses two point driving layup
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
34-45
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
5-14
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
5-11
Brandon Miller offensive foul (Charge) (Will Richard draws the foul)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
28-39
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Sion James steals)
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
2-8
Quinten Post defensive rebound
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot (Ryan Kalkbrenner assists)
2-3
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
0-3
Sion James misses three point jump shot
Miles Bridges offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
Start of 1st Quarter
Ryan Kalkbrenner vs. Quinten Post (Warriors gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Hornets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hornets vs. Warriors
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237
- Moneyline Odds: Hornets +240, Warriors -260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hornets: 25%
- Warriors: 75%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hornets 113-121 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hornets a win probability of 25%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Hornets in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hornets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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