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NBA
Rockets vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Kings NBA game on January 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
98
111
Jan 11, 9:00 PM ET Golden 1 Center
Jan 11, 9:00 PM ET Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 23 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 98 |
Kings | 22 | 29 | 27 | 33 | 111 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Rockets
- Kings
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 23 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 98 |
Kings | 22 | 29 | 27 | 33 | 111 |
Q4 1:06 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:07 DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:38 Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:49 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:20 Alperen Sengun makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
Q4 5:56 Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup (Amen Thompson assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Kings violation
Kings turnover
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball)
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
95-107
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Precious Achiuwa steals)
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-104
Kings misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets challenge timeout
Rockets challenge timeout
Kings offensive rebound
Rockets defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
92-100
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings 60 second timeout
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
92-94
Zach LaVine shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
90-92
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup (Amen Thompson assists)
89-92
Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
Amen Thompson misses two point cutting layup
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Zach LaVine, Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk)
+1
Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-92
+1
Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-92
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Dylan Cardwell misses two point layup
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Russell Westbrook personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-90
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-87
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
+2
Dylan Cardwell makes two point tip layup
82-87
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Nique Clifford misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Zach LaVine, Russell Westbrook, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk)
DeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
76-77
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-78
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+1
Reed Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
76-75
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point running layup (Aaron Holiday assists)
75-75
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Steven Adams, Reed Sheppard)
Kings offensive rebound
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point driving floating jump shot
69-70
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-65
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
61-60
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point tip layup
56-58
Kings offensive rebound
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses two point driving layup
Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point hook shot (Malik Monk assists)
37-41
Amen Thompson misses two point layup
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-38
Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-22
Steven Adams turnover (offensive foul)
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell misses two point hook shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot
9-12
Kevin Durant misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Russell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
Alperen Sengun vs. Maxime Raynaud (Precious Achiuwa gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Kings
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -14
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -720, Kings +550
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 85%
- Kings: 15%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 117-105 Kings.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 85%, while the Kings have a win probability of 15%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
