Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Mavericks
116
126
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 22 | 31 | 27 | 116 |
Warriors | 40 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Mavericks
- Warriors
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 22 | 31 | 27 | 116 |
Warriors | 40 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 126 |
Q4 00:15 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot116-126
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot114-126
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot112-126
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot112-123
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2110-122
- +1De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2110-123
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot110-121
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot108-121
- Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
- Gary Payton II offensive rebound
- Warriors defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot108-119
- Mavericks personal foul
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot108-117
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot106-117
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot106-115
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot104-115
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot104-112
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot104-110
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2102-109
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- +1De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2102-110
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot102-108
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2100-108
- Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot99-108
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 299-105
- +1Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 299-106
- De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot99-104
- Warriors personal foul
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Warriors turnover
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-104
- Warriors violation
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot95-104
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 293-103
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 293-104
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Gary Payton II defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Gary Payton II offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks violation
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot93-102
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot91-102
- Mavericks turnover
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Gary Payton II defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot94-100
- Mavericks turnover
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot91-100
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot89-100
- Mavericks personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Mavericks turnover
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot89-98
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot87-98
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot87-96
- Al Horford defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot87-94
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
- Al Horford defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 284-94
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 285-94
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot83-94
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 280-93
- +1Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 280-94
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot80-92
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot78-92
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot78-89
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 277-87
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 278-87
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot76-87
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot76-85
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot74-85
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot74-83
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot72-83
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot72-81
- Stephen Curry offensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 269-80
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 269-81
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot69-79
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 266-79
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 267-79
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot65-79
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot62-79
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot62-77
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot62-75
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot60-75
- Warriors defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot60-73
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot60-71
- Warriors personal foul
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot58-71
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 257-69
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 258-69
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot56-69
- Warriors personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot54-69
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot54-66
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot52-66
- Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot52-63
- Warriors violation
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot50-63
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot50-61
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot48-61
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot48-59
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Moses Moody defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- Warriors personal foul
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot46-59
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot46-57
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot44-57
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Moses Moody makes two point jump shot44-55
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot44-53
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot42-53
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot42-50
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot42-48
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 240-47
- Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- +1Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 240-48
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot40-46
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot38-46
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot38-43
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Gary Payton II defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot36-43
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors turnover
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot36-40
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Will Richard defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot34-40
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot32-40
- Warriors turnover
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
- Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot30-40
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Al Horford defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford)
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot28-40
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot28-37
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot28-34
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot26-34
- Will Richard offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Al Horford defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot26-31
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot26-28
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Jump ball. (Jimmy Butler III gains possession)
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 224-27
- Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot24-27
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot22-27
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
- Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot22-25
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot20-25
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot20-22
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot18-22
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 218-19
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 218-20
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot18-18
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
- Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot15-18
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 214-16
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
- Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 215-16
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot13-16
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot13-13
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 210-13
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 211-13
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot9-13
- Warriors personal foul
- Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 29-11
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 28-10
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 28-11
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
- Mavericks turnover
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot8-9
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 36-7
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 36-8
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 36-9
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- Moses Moody offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
- Draymond Green offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Moses Moody defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Quinten Post offensive rebound
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot6-6
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot6-4
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot4-4
- Warriors turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot2-4
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 20-3
- +1Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 20-4
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot0-2
- Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III)
- (Stephen Curry gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +280, Warriors -310
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 24%
- Warriors: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 111-119 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 24%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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