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Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
126
Dec 25, 10PM Chase Center
Dec 25, 10PM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 22 | 31 | 27 | 116 |
Warriors | 40 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 22 | 31 | 27 | 116 |
Warriors | 40 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 126 |
Q4 00:15 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
116-126
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
114-126
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
112-126
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
112-123
Mavericks personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-122
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-123
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-121
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
108-121
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
108-119
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
108-117
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-117
Warriors 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
106-115
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
104-115
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
104-112
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
104-110
Mavericks personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-109
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-110
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
102-108
Max Christie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-108
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-108
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-105
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-106
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-104
Warriors personal foul
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
97-104
Warriors violation
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
95-104
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-103
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-104
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Mavericks violation
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-102
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-102
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
94-100
Mavericks turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
91-100
Max Christie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
89-100
Mavericks personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
89-98
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-98
Mavericks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-96
Al Horford defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
87-94
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-94
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-94
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
83-94
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-93
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-94
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
80-92
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
78-92
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
78-89
Warriors personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-87
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-87
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
76-87
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
76-85
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
74-85
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
74-83
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
72-83
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
72-81
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-80
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-81
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
69-79
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-79
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-79
Max Christie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-79
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-79
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-77
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Max Christie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
62-75
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-75
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-73
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
60-71
Warriors personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-71
Warriors personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-69
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-69
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
56-69
Warriors personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
54-69
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
54-66
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
52-66
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
52-63
Warriors violation
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
50-63
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-61
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
48-61
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
48-59
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Mavericks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-59
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
46-57
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
44-57
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
44-55
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
44-53
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
42-53
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
42-50
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-48
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-47
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-48
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
40-46
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
38-46
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
38-43
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
36-43
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Warriors turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
36-40
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-40
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
32-40
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
30-40
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-40
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-37
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-34
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
26-34
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
26-31
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
26-28
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Jimmy Butler III gains possession)
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-27
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-27
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
22-27
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
22-25
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
20-25
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
20-22
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
18-22
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-19
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-20
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
18-18
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
15-18
Warriors personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-16
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, De'Anthony Melton)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-16
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
13-16
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-13
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-13
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-13
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-13
Warriors personal foul
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-11
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-10
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-11
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Mavericks turnover
Max Christie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
8-9
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
6-7
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
6-8
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
6-9
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
6-6
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
6-4
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
4-4
Warriors turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-4
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-3
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-4
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Start of 1st Quarter
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III)
(Stephen Curry gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mavericks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +280, Warriors -310
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 24%
- Warriors: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 111-119 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 24%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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