Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Spurs
117
102
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Spurs
41 28 26 22 117
Thunder
36 24 19 23 102
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Thunder
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
41 28 26 22 117
Thunder
36 24 19 23 102
Q4 00:27 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:15 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:28 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:03
    Spurs turnover
  3. Q4 00:23
    Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:32
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:45
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    117-102
  8. Q4 00:47
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:50
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 1:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    117-100
  11. Q4 1:12
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  12. Q4 1:12
    Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Jeremy Sochan, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant)
  13. Q4 1:23
    Thunder turnover
  14. Q4 1:42
    Thunder personal foul
  15. Q4 1:42
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-100
  16. Q4 1:42
    Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Chris Youngblood)
  17. Q4 1:42
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-100
  18. Q4 1:59
    Spurs personal foul
  19. Q4 1:59
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-99
  20. Q4 1:59
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-100
  21. Q4 2:14
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  22. Q4 2:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 2:41
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  24. Q4 2:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 2:57
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    112-98
  26. Q4 3:13
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  27. Q4 3:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 3:26
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  29. Q4 3:28
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:39
    Thunder personal foul
  31. Q4 3:49
    Spurs defensive rebound
  32. Q4 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  33. Q4 3:50
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 4:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    110-98
  35. Q4 4:18
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  36. Q4 4:18
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  37. Q4 4:29
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  38. Q4 4:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 4:36
    Spurs turnover
  40. Q4 4:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    108-98
  41. Q4 4:59
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  42. Q4 5:02
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 5:17
    Stoppage (Other)
  44. Q4 5:19
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    108-96
  45. Q4 5:35
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  46. Q4 5:35
    Thunder personal foul
  47. Q4 5:35
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-93
  48. Q4 5:35
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-93
  49. Q4 5:38
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 6:00
    Spurs personal foul
  51. Q4 6:00
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-92
  52. Q4 6:00
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-93
  53. Q4 6:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    106-91
  54. Q4 6:07
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  55. Q4 6:07
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
  56. Q4 6:07
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
  57. Q4 6:28
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  58. Q4 6:31
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 6:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-91
  60. Q4 6:57
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  61. Q4 7:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 7:05
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  63. Q4 7:08
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 7:31
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    102-91
  65. Q4 7:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    102-88
  66. Q4 7:55
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  67. Q4 7:59
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 8:10
    Thunder personal foul
  69. Q4 8:10
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  70. Q4 8:10
    Instant replay
  71. Q4 8:10
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
  72. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-88
  73. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-88
  74. Q4 8:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    97-88
  75. Q4 8:50
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  76. Q4 8:53
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 9:05
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  78. Q4 9:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  79. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    97-85
  80. Q4 9:46
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  81. Q4 9:46
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  82. Q4 9:47
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-85
  83. Q4 9:54
    Spurs turnover
  84. Q4 10:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-83
  85. Q4 10:12
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  86. Q4 10:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  87. Q4 10:21
    Spurs personal foul
  88. Q4 10:21
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  89. Q4 10:26
    Spurs turnover
  90. Q4 10:33
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  91. Q4 10:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  92. Q4 10:43
    Spurs turnover
  93. Q4 10:54
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  94. Q4 10:56
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  95. Q4 10:56
    Spurs personal foul
  96. Q4 10:56
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-80
  97. Q4 10:56
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  98. Q4 10:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  99. Q4 11:12
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  100. Q4 11:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 11:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 11:36
    Spurs defensive rebound
  103. Q4 11:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  104. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  106. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  107. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  108. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
  109. Q3 00:12
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  110. Q3 00:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    95-79
  111. Q3 00:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 00:32
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 00:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    93-79
  115. Q3 1:09
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    91-79
  116. Q3 1:12
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  117. Q3 1:16
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 1:30
    Spurs turnover
  119. Q3 1:30
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  120. Q3 1:30
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  121. Q3 1:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    91-76
  122. Q3 1:57
    Spurs violation
  123. Q3 1:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    91-74
  124. Q3 2:04
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  125. Q3 2:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  126. Q3 2:18
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  127. Q3 2:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    89-74
  128. Q3 2:21
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  129. Q3 2:31
    Thunder personal foul
  130. Q3 2:31
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-72
  131. Q3 2:31
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-72
  132. Q3 2:32
    Jump ball. Aaron Wiggins (Victor Wembanyama gains possession)
  133. Q3 2:51
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  134. Q3 2:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 3:03
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  136. Q3 3:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 3:17
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  138. Q3 3:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  139. Q3 3:29
    Spurs turnover
  140. Q3 3:36
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  141. Q3 3:36
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
  142. Q3 3:36
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  143. Q3 3:42
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  144. Q3 3:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  145. Q3 3:52
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  146. Q3 3:54
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  147. Q3 4:11
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  148. Q3 4:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  149. Q3 4:24
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  150. Q3 4:27
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 4:40
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  152. Q3 4:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 4:53
    Thunder defensive rebound
  154. Q3 4:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  155. Q3 4:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 5:02
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  157. Q3 5:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  158. Q3 5:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    87-72
  159. Q3 5:39
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  160. Q3 5:39
    Spurs personal foul
  161. Q3 5:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-71
  162. Q3 5:39
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  163. Q3 5:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-72
  164. Q3 5:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 5:50
    Spurs personal foul
  166. Q3 5:50
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  167. Q3 5:50
    Thunder offensive rebound
  168. Q3 5:50
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    85-69
  169. Q3 5:50
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    85-70
  170. Q3 6:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    85-68
  171. Q3 6:19
    Spurs defensive rebound
  172. Q3 6:19
    Thunder personal foul
  173. Q3 6:19
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
  174. Q3 6:21
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 6:32
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    83-68
  176. Q3 6:44
    Thunder personal foul
  177. Q3 6:44
    Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
  178. Q3 6:44
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  179. Q3 6:57
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    80-68
  180. Q3 7:07
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    77-68
  181. Q3 7:14
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  182. Q3 7:17
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 7:22
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  184. Q3 7:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 7:34
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  186. Q3 7:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 7:54
    Spurs personal foul
  188. Q3 7:54
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  189. Q3 7:54
    Instant replay
  190. Q3 7:54
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
  191. Q3 7:54
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  192. Q3 8:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  193. Q3 8:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 8:09
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  195. Q3 8:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  196. Q3 8:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    77-66
  197. Q3 8:27
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  198. Q3 8:27
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
  199. Q3 8:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    75-66
  200. Q3 8:52
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  201. Q3 8:55
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 8:58
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  203. Q3 9:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 9:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-64
  205. Q3 9:12
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  206. Q3 9:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  207. Q3 9:18
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  208. Q3 9:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 9:28
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  210. Q3 9:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  211. Q3 9:43
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  212. Q3 9:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 10:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    73-64
  214. Q3 10:22
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-64
  215. Q3 10:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    71-62
  216. Q3 10:56
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  217. Q3 11:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  218. Q3 11:04
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  219. Q3 11:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  220. Q3 11:16
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  221. Q3 11:17
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  222. Q3 11:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  223. Q3 11:43
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  224. Q3 11:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  225. Q2 00:00
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  226. Q2 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  227. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  228. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  229. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
  230. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  231. Q2 00:02
    Harrison Barnes misses two point jump shot
  232. Q2 00:02
    Harrison Barnes turnover (lost ball)
  233. Q2 00:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    69-60
  234. Q2 00:34
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  235. Q2 00:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  236. Q2 00:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-57
  237. Q2 1:13
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    69-55
  238. Q2 1:26
    Spurs personal foul
  239. Q2 1:26
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  240. Q2 1:26
    Thunder offensive rebound
  241. Q2 1:26
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  242. Q2 1:26
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
  243. Q2 1:26
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-55
  244. Q2 1:32
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  245. Q2 1:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  246. Q2 1:42
    Thunder personal foul
  247. Q2 1:42
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
  248. Q2 1:46
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  249. Q2 1:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 2:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    67-54
  251. Q2 2:08
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  252. Q2 2:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  253. Q2 2:23
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  254. Q2 2:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    65-54
  255. Q2 2:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  256. Q2 2:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-54
  257. Q2 3:00
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  258. Q2 3:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  259. Q2 3:17
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
    63-51
  260. Q2 3:17
    Spurs personal foul
  261. Q2 3:17
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  262. Q2 3:17
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-52
  263. Q2 3:17
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  264. Q2 3:18
    Spurs turnover
  265. Q2 3:28
    Thunder turnover
  266. Q2 3:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    63-49
  267. Q2 3:42
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  268. Q2 3:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 3:54
    Spurs personal foul
  270. Q2 3:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    61-49
  271. Q2 4:06
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  272. Q2 4:06
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  273. Q2 4:07
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    61-48
  274. Q2 4:11
    Thunder turnover
  275. Q2 4:12
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  276. Q2 4:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  277. Q2 4:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    58-48
  278. Q2 4:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    55-48
  279. Q2 5:04
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  280. Q2 5:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 5:27
    Spurs defensive rebound
  282. Q2 5:27
    Thunder personal foul
  283. Q2 5:27
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  284. Q2 5:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  285. Q2 5:40
    Thunder personal foul
  286. Q2 5:40
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-46
  287. Q2 5:40
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  288. Q2 5:40
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  289. Q2 5:40
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-46
  290. Q2 5:43
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  291. Q2 5:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 6:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    53-46
  293. Q2 6:04
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  294. Q2 6:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  295. Q2 6:23
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  296. Q2 6:25
    Spurs personal foul
  297. Q2 6:25
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-46
  298. Q2 6:25
    Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  299. Q2 6:25
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
  300. Q2 6:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    51-45
  301. Q2 6:48
    Thunder personal foul
  302. Q2 6:59
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    49-45
  303. Q2 7:05
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  304. Q2 7:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  305. Q2 7:21
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  306. Q2 7:23
    Spurs personal foul
  307. Q2 7:23
    Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  308. Q2 7:23
    Thunder offensive rebound
  309. Q2 7:23
    Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  310. Q2 7:26
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  311. Q2 7:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  312. Q2 7:34
    Spurs turnover
  313. Q2 7:44
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  314. Q2 7:46
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 7:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 7:52
    Thunder offensive rebound
  317. Q2 7:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  318. Q2 7:52
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  319. Q2 8:08
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  320. Q2 8:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 8:13
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  322. Q2 8:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  323. Q2 8:21
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  324. Q2 8:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 8:43
    Spurs personal foul
  326. Q2 8:43
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  327. Q2 8:43
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  328. Q2 8:43
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
  329. Q2 8:45
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  330. Q2 8:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 8:53
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  332. Q2 8:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  333. Q2 9:18
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  334. Q2 9:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 9:31
    Thunder turnover
  336. Q2 9:44
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  337. Q2 9:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    49-43
  338. Q2 9:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  339. Q2 10:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    47-43
  340. Q2 10:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  341. Q2 10:06
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  342. Q2 10:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  343. Q2 10:19
    Thunder offensive rebound
  344. Q2 10:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  345. Q2 10:19
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  346. Q2 10:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    47-40
  347. Q2 10:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    45-40
  348. Q2 11:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-38
  349. Q2 11:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 11:28
    Spurs personal foul
  351. Q2 11:28
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-37
  352. Q2 11:28
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-38
  353. Q2 11:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-36
  354. Q1 00:00
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  355. Q1 00:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  356. Q1 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  357. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  358. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
  359. Q1 00:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  360. Q1 00:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-36
  361. Q1 00:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  362. Q1 00:08
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  363. Q1 00:23
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  364. Q1 00:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  365. Q1 00:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-36
  366. Q1 00:47
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  367. Q1 00:48
    Spurs personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
  368. Q1 00:48
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  369. Q1 00:48
    Thunder offensive rebound
  370. Q1 00:48
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  371. Q1 00:48
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  372. Q1 1:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    37-36
  373. Q1 1:22
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  374. Q1 1:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  375. Q1 1:40
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  376. Q1 1:40
    Thunder personal foul
  377. Q1 1:40
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-36
  378. Q1 1:40
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-36
  379. Q1 1:42
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  380. Q1 1:56
    Thunder personal foul
  381. Q1 1:56
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    33-36
  382. Q1 1:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    32-36
  383. Q1 2:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    30-36
  384. Q1 2:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    30-34
  385. Q1 2:41
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  386. Q1 2:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  387. Q1 2:57
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  388. Q1 3:00
    Thunder personal foul
  389. Q1 3:00
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  390. Q1 3:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  391. Q1 3:00
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  392. Q1 3:00
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
  393. Q1 3:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-34
  394. Q1 3:31
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  395. Q1 3:33
    Thunder personal foul
  396. Q1 3:33
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-32
  397. Q1 3:33
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  398. Q1 3:33
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  399. Q1 3:33
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  400. Q1 3:39
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  401. Q1 3:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  402. Q1 3:59
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    27-32
  403. Q1 4:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-32
  404. Q1 4:15
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  405. Q1 4:19
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  406. Q1 4:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-30
  407. Q1 4:41
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  408. Q1 4:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 4:57
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  410. Q1 4:57
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  411. Q1 4:57
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
  412. Q1 4:59
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    24-28
  413. Q1 5:08
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  414. Q1 5:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  415. Q1 5:23
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  416. Q1 5:26
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 5:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    21-28
  418. Q1 5:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-26
  419. Q1 5:53
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  420. Q1 5:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 6:06
    Spurs turnover
  422. Q1 6:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-26
  423. Q1 6:43
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    19-24
  424. Q1 6:58
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    17-24
  425. Q1 6:59
    Jalen Williams offensive rebound
  426. Q1 7:03
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 7:15
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    17-21
  428. Q1 7:35
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    14-21
  429. Q1 7:36
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  430. Q1 7:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  431. Q1 7:52
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  432. Q1 7:54
    Thunder personal foul
  433. Q1 7:54
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    13-18
  434. Q1 7:54
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    14-18
  435. Q1 7:54
    Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  436. Q1 8:10
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  437. Q1 8:11
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    12-18
  438. Q1 8:25
    Spurs personal foul
  439. Q1 8:25
    Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
  440. Q1 8:32
    Spurs personal foul
  441. Q1 8:32
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-15
  442. Q1 8:32
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    12-16
  443. Q1 8:40
    Spurs personal foul
  444. Q1 8:47
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  445. Q1 8:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 9:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    12-14
  447. Q1 9:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    12-11
  448. Q1 9:10
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  449. Q1 9:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 9:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    10-11
  451. Q1 9:38
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    10-8
  452. Q1 9:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    7-8
  453. Q1 10:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    7-6
  454. Q1 10:10
    Thunder turnover
  455. Q1 10:30
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    5-6
  456. Q1 10:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-6
  457. Q1 11:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  458. Q1 11:02
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  459. Q1 11:02
    Thunder personal foul
  460. Q1 11:02
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  461. Q1 11:14
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    0-4
  462. Q1 11:22
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  463. Q1 11:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  464. Q1 11:45
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  465. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  466. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
  467. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  468. Q1 12:00
    (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
  • Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs +335, Thunder -400

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 23%
  • Thunder: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 113-121 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 23%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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