Rockets vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Jazz NBA game on December 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Rockets
125
133
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
32 25 32 36 125
Jazz
31 37 30 35 133
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    <1%
  • Jazz
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
32 25 32 36 125
Jazz
31 37 30 35 133
Q4 00:09 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:08
    Jazz defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  4. Q4 00:09
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:13
    Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:13
    Rockets personal foul
  7. Q4 00:13
    +1
    Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    125-132
  8. Q4 00:13
    +1
    Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    125-133
  9. Q4 00:17
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:18
    Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  11. Q4 00:18
    Rockets personal foul
  12. Q4 00:18
    Jazz offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:18
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    125-131
  14. Q4 00:18
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 00:20
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    125-130
  16. Q4 00:20
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  17. Q4 00:23
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  18. Q4 00:26
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 00:31
    Rockets personal foul
  20. Q4 00:31
    Rockets turnover
  21. Q4 00:31
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    123-130
  22. Q4 00:31
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    123-129
  23. Q4 00:37
    Rockets personal foul
  24. Q4 00:37
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    123-127
  25. Q4 00:37
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    123-128
  26. Q4 00:52
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    123-126
  27. Q4 1:02
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  28. Q4 1:06
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 1:22
    Jazz personal foul
  30. Q4 1:22
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-126
  31. Q4 1:22
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    121-126
  32. Q4 1:32
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  33. Q4 1:33
    Jazz personal foul
  34. Q4 1:33
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  35. Q4 1:33
    Lauri Markkanen turnover (offensive foul)
  36. Q4 1:33
    Instant replay
  37. Q4 1:33
    +1
    Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-126
  38. Q4 1:33
    Jazz challenge timeout
  39. Q4 1:33
    Lauri Markkanen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  40. Q4 1:33
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover
  41. Q4 1:48
    Jazz personal foul
  42. Q4 1:48
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-125
  43. Q4 1:48
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Svi Mykhailiuk, Lauri Markkanen, Ace Bailey)
  44. Q4 1:48
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  45. Q4 1:48
    Jazz defensive rebound
  46. Q4 1:48
    Amen Thompson turnover (lane violation)
  47. Q4 1:48
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  48. Q4 1:48
    Jazz defensive rebound
  49. Q4 1:48
    Alperen Sengun turnover (lane violation)
  50. Q4 1:54
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  51. Q4 1:56
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 1:56
    +1
    Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-125
  53. Q4 1:56
    Rockets personal foul
  54. Q4 1:56
    Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  55. Q4 2:07
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  56. Q4 2:10
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  57. Q4 2:22
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    118-124
  58. Q4 2:34
    Jazz personal foul
  59. Q4 2:34
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-122
  60. Q4 2:34
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-122
  61. Q4 2:39
    Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
  62. Q4 2:43
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 2:53
    Jazz personal foul
  64. Q4 2:53
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  65. Q4 2:53
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-122
  66. Q4 2:53
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  67. Q4 3:01
    Rockets personal foul
  68. Q4 3:01
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  69. Q4 3:01
    +1
    Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-122
  70. Q4 3:01
    Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  71. Q4 3:01
    Jazz offensive rebound
  72. Q4 3:02
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 3:13
    Jae'Sean Tate personal foul
  74. Q4 3:13
    Jazz offensive rebound
  75. Q4 3:13
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-121
  76. Q4 3:13
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Ace Bailey, Jusuf Nurkic)
  77. Q4 3:13
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  78. Q4 3:13
    Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  79. Q4 3:15
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 3:28
    Amen Thompson personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
  81. Q4 3:31
    Jae'Sean Tate personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
  82. Q4 3:39
    Kevin Durant personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
  83. Q4 3:49
    Rockets personal foul
  84. Q4 3:49
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Walter Clayton Jr., Ace Bailey)
  85. Q4 4:02
    +1
    Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-120
  86. Q4 4:02
    Rockets offensive rebound
  87. Q4 4:02
    Jazz personal foul
  88. Q4 4:02
    Aaron Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  89. Q4 4:02
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  90. Q4 4:21
    +3
    Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot
    113-120
  91. Q4 4:24
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  92. Q4 4:26
    Aaron Holiday misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 4:56
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    113-117
  94. Q4 5:12
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    113-114
  95. Q4 5:14
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  96. Q4 5:17
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 5:27
    Keyonte George turnover
  98. Q4 5:39
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    110-114
  99. Q4 5:57
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    110-114
  100. Q4 6:02
    Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
  101. Q4 6:06
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 6:19
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    108-112
  103. Q4 6:19
    Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
  104. Q4 6:23
    Alperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot
  105. Q4 6:42
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic)
  106. Q4 6:42
    Alperen Sengun blocks Keyonte George's two point jump shot
  107. Q4 6:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  108. Q4 6:42
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  109. Q4 6:42
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  110. Q4 6:42
    Jazz offensive rebound
  111. Q4 6:50
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  112. Q4 6:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  113. Q4 7:12
    +3
    Kyle Filipowski makes three point jump shot
    108-112
  114. Q4 7:21
    Walter Clayton Jr. turnover
  115. Q4 7:22
    Jazz personal foul
  116. Q4 7:22
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-109
  117. Q4 7:22
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic)
  118. Q4 7:22
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-120
  119. Q4 7:40
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    114-120
  120. Q4 7:46
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  121. Q4 7:48
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
  122. Q4 7:57
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  123. Q4 7:59
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  124. Q4 8:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  125. Q4 8:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-109
  126. Q4 8:02
    Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  127. Q4 8:02
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Kevin Love, Keyonte George, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  128. Q4 8:02
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  129. Q4 8:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  130. Q4 8:05
    Ace Bailey turnover (bad pass) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
  131. Q4 8:20
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot
    101-109
  132. Q4 8:48
    +3
    Svi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
    99-109
  133. Q4 8:49
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  134. Q4 8:51
    Svi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot
  135. Q4 9:04
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  136. Q4 9:05
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  137. Q4 9:05
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-106
  138. Q4 9:05
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr., Ace Bailey)
  139. Q4 9:05
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  140. Q4 9:05
    Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  141. Q4 9:08
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point layup
  142. Q4 9:13
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  143. Q4 9:14
    Ace Bailey blocks Amen Thompson's two point driving layup
  144. Q4 9:19
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  145. Q4 9:22
    Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
  146. Q4 9:42
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
    98-106
  147. Q4 9:47
    Jump ball. Amen Thompson vs. Lauri Markkanen (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
  148. Q4 9:47
    Rockets offensive rebound
  149. Q4 9:53
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  150. Q4 10:02
    Svi Mykhailiuk personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  151. Q4 10:11
    +2
    Kevin Love makes two point cutting layup (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)
    96-106
  152. Q4 10:29
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot
    96-104
  153. Q4 10:41
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  154. Q4 10:43
    Lauri Markkanen misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  155. Q4 10:55
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    94-104
  156. Q4 11:09
    +3
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot
    91-104
  157. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-101
  158. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-101
  159. Q4 11:17
    Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  160. Q4 11:38
    +3
    Ace Bailey makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
    89-101
  161. Q3 00:00
    Keyonte George misses heave shot
  162. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  163. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  164. Q3 00:00
    Jazz offensive rebound
  165. Q4 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk, Lauri Markkanen, Walter Clayton Jr., Ace Bailey)
  166. Q4 12:00
    Start of 4th Quarter
  167. Q3 00:01
    Isaiah Collier shooting foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)
  168. Q3 00:01
    Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
  169. Q3 00:01
    +1
    Jae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-98
  170. Q3 00:01
    +1
    Jae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-98
  171. Q3 00:03
    Ace Bailey blocks Aaron Holiday's two point running layup
  172. Q3 00:09
    Keyonte George turnover (bad pass) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)
  173. Q3 00:25
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-98
  174. Q3 00:25
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun)
  175. Q3 00:25
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-98
  176. Q3 00:25
    Ace Bailey shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  177. Q3 00:30
    Kyle Filipowski turnover (bad pass) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)
  178. Q3 00:33
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  179. Q3 00:36
    Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
  180. Q3 00:50
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point driving floating jump shot
    84-98
  181. Q3 00:50
    Isaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
  182. Q3 00:50
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier)
  183. Q3 00:50
    Jusuf Nurkic shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  184. Q3 00:50
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    85-98
  185. Q3 00:52
    Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
  186. Q3 00:52
    +2
    Jae'Sean Tate makes two point jump shot
    82-98
  187. Q3 00:54
    Amen Thompson misses two point running layup
  188. Q3 00:58
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  189. Q3 1:01
    Jusuf Nurkic misses two point reverse layup
  190. Q3 1:20
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    80-98
  191. Q3 1:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  192. Q3 1:37
    +2
    Jusuf Nurkic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Keyonte George assists)
    77-98
  193. Q3 1:52
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot
    77-96
  194. Q3 2:09
    +2
    Keyonte George makes two point running layup (Isaiah Collier assists)
    75-96
  195. Q3 2:13
    Amen Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Collier steals)
  196. Q3 2:24
    +1
    Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-93
  197. Q3 2:24
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
  198. Q3 2:24
    +1
    Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-94
  199. Q3 2:30
    Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
  200. Q3 2:32
    Alperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot
  201. Q3 2:51
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic, Isaiah Collier)
  202. Q3 2:51
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  203. Q3 2:51
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  204. Q3 2:54
    +3
    Kyle Filipowski makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
    75-92
  205. Q3 3:08
    Kevin Love shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  206. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-89
  207. Q3 3:08
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
  208. Q3 3:08
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Kevin Love, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier)
  209. Q3 3:16
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    113-114
  210. Q2 1:13
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
  211. Q2 1:51
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    54-62
  212. Q2 1:55
    Alperen Sengun turnover
  213. Q2 3:44
    +2
    Keyonte George makes two point jump shot
    47-54
  214. Q2 4:43
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    47-54
  215. Q2 4:47
    Alperen Sengun blocks Walter Clayton Jr.'s two point driving layup
  216. Q2 4:47
    Jazz offensive rebound
  217. Q2 4:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  218. Q2 5:03
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  219. Q2 5:05
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  220. Q2 5:05
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Walter Clayton Jr., Ace Bailey)
  221. Q2 5:05
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Durant assists)
    47-52
  222. Q2 5:05
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  223. Q2 5:05
    Jusuf Nurkic shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  224. Q2 5:16
    Rockets defensive rebound
  225. Q2 5:16
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Lauri Markkanen, Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic)
  226. Q2 5:16
    Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  227. Q2 5:17
    Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
  228. Q2 5:22
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Walter Clayton Jr. steals)
  229. Q2 5:26
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  230. Q2 5:27
    Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
  231. Q2 5:39
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
    45-52
  232. Q2 5:51
    Aaron Holiday shooting foul (Svi Mykhailiuk draws the foul)
  233. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-51
  234. Q2 5:51
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  235. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-52
  236. Q2 6:08
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  237. Q2 6:09
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  238. Q2 6:25
    +3
    Keyonte George makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
    43-50
  239. Q2 6:39
    Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
  240. Q2 6:42
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  241. Q2 6:57
    +2
    Jusuf Nurkic makes two point driving reverse layup (Keyonte George assists)
    43-47
  242. Q2 7:14
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
    43-45
  243. Q2 9:29
    Jazz violation
  244. Q1 5:34
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Jazz
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Jazz
  • Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -11
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -535, Jazz +450

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 79%
  • Jazz: 21%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 122-112 Jazz.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 79%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 21%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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