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Pistons vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Heat NBA game on November 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
138
135
Nov 30, 1AM Kaseya Center
Nov 30, 1AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 36 | 35 | 37 | 30 | 138 |
Heat | 23 | 36 | 32 | 44 | 135 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
95%
5%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 36 | 35 | 37 | 30 | 138 |
Heat | 23 | 36 | 32 | 44 | 135 |
Q4 00:00 Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
Q4 00:15 Cade Cunningham blocks Norman Powell's two point driving layup
Q4 00:20 Cade Cunningham makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:36 Norman Powell misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 00:40 Daniss Jenkins makes two point driving layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q4 1:25 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
138-135
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Heat personal foul
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
138-135
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-135
Ausar Thompson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-135
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
138-135
Pistons 60 second timeout
Ausar Thompson turnover
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Norman Powell personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-135
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Cade Cunningham blocks Norman Powell's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons defensive rebound
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point jump shot
135-131
Heat 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
135-131
Norman Powell misses two point driving finger roll layup
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Daniss Jenkins makes two point driving layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
135-131
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
131-127
Cade Cunningham shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
135-131
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
135-131
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Ausar Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Heat challenge timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
131-126
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Tyler Herro personal foul
Tobias Harris offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
131-126
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
131-126
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
131-126
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Cade Cunningham turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
131-126
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
131-123
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-93
Pistons personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-123
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
131-123
Norman Powell personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-123
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-93
Tobias Harris turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-93
Ausar Thompson turnover (Andrew Wiggins steals)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)
113-93
Heat personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-93
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-93
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-93
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point jump shot
113-93
+3
Dru Smith makes three point jump shot
113-93
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point running layup
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
113-93
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
113-93
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Ronald Holland II draws the foul)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
113-93
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-93
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Tyler Herro turnover (Ronald Holland II steals)
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
113-93
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Ronald Holland II draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
Ronald Holland II turnover (double dribble)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware blocks Paul Reed's two point layup
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-93
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-93
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
113-93
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
113-93
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
113-93
Paul Reed personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-92
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-93
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
113-93
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Heat violation
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pistons offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
+2
Dru Smith makes two point putback layup
108-91
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaden Ivey makes three point pullup jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
108-89
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Dru Smith personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-89
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-89
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-89
Heat turnover
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-89
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Nikola Jovic, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-89
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-89
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-87
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
99-85
Pistons personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-84
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-85
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
97-83
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
97-80
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
95-80
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-80
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
93-78
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-78
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-75
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
90-73
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-73
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-72
Pistons personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-73
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
88-69
Heat turnover
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
86-69
Heat 60 second timeout
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
84-69
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
82-69
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
80-69
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
80-66
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-66
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
78-64
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
75-64
Heat personal foul
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-64
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-64
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-62
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-60
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
73-59
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-58
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-59
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
71-57
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-57
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
69-54
Heat personal foul
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-54
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-54
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
65-51
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-51
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-51
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-49
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-49
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-49
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-49
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
57-49
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
54-49
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-46
Heat personal foul
Pistons personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-45
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-46
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
52-44
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-44
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
50-42
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-42
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-40
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
47-37
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-37
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-35
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-35
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
41-35
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
39-35
Heat personal foul
Heat violation
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-35
Pistons turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-32
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-29
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-30
Pistons personal foul
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-28
Dru Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-27
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-25
Pistons personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat violation
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Javonte Green, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
35-23
Heat personal foul
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
36-23
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-23
Heat 60 second timeout
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-23
Heat turnover
Pistons turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-23
Heat violation
Heat personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
29-23
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
26-23
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-23
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
23-21
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Nikola Jovic, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
21-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-20
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
Pistons turnover
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-18
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-20
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-16
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-17
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-15
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
17-15
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-15
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-13
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
15-10
Pistons personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-10
Pistons turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
12-9
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
10-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-9
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-7
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-7
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-4
Pistons personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-3
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-4
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-1
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-2
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
3-0
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
Isaiah Stewart vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Game Prediction Article
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Pistons vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Heat
- Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -4
- Total (Over/Under): 239
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +140, Heat -165
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 35%
- Heat: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 117-121 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 35%, while the Heat have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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