Bets 
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 4 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
122
115
May 19, 12:30AM Paycom Center
May 19, 12:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 27 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 7 | 122 |
Thunder | 27 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 7 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 27 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 7 | 122 |
Thunder | 27 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 7 | 115 |
OT2 00:17 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT2 00:22 Spurs makes two point jump shot
OT2 00:39 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT2 00:43 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT2 00:46 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT2 1:01 Spurs makes two point jump shot
OT2 1:21 Thunder makes three point jump shot
OT2 1:30 Spurs misses two point jump shot
OT2 2:04 Spurs makes two point jump shot
OT2 2:24 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
End of 2nd OT.
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 3
122-115
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-114
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-114
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
120-114
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
117-114
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-114
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
115-114
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
114-111
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-111
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
112-111
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-108
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-108
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-108
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
End of 1st OT.
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
(Dylan Harper gains possession)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
108-108
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-108
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-106
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
105-104
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
105-101
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs challenge timeout
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
103-101
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
(Stephon Castle gains possession)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-101
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-99
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-98
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-99
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-97
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-97
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-97
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-95
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-95
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
94-92
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
94-90
Thunder personal foul
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle turnover
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-90
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-88
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-85
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-86
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-84
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-84
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-82
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
89-80
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-80
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
87-77
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-76
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-77
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-75
Thunder turnover
Spurs personal foul
Devin Vassell turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-75
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
83-73
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
80-73
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-73
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-70
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-70
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-67
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-67
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-67
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-67
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-67
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-65
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-65
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
68-65
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
68-63
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
66-63
Thunder turnover
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
64-63
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-59
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-60
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-58
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-58
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
62-58
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-58
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-58
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
57-58
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
57-55
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-52
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-52
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
55-50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-50
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-46
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-47
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
53-44
Thunder turnover
Thunder offensive rebound
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point tip layup
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
51-44
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
51-41
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-41
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
46-41
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-41
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-39
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
44-37
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-36
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-37
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder turnover
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
42-35
Thunder turnover
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
40-35
Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs violation
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-32
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
38-32
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
38-29
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
36-29
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
33-29
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-29
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
30-27
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-26
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-27
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
27-25
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
25-25
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-25
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-22
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-22
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-22
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-20
Thunder personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-20
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-18
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-16
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-14
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-12
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
15-12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
15-9
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-7
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-5
Spurs personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-3
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-3
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
10-3
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-3
Spurs turnover
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip layup
7-0
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-0
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-0
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
3-0
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Start of 1st Quarter
Victor Wembanyama vs. Chet Holmgren (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +232, Thunder -228
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 30%
- Thunder: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 107-113 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 30%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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