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Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Spurs NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
128
118
Apr 13, 12:30AM Frost Bank Center
Apr 13, 12:30AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 37 | 38 | 51 | 2 | 128 |
Spurs | 34 | 29 | 55 | 0 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
84%
16%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 37 | 38 | 51 | 2 | 128 |
Spurs | 34 | 29 | 55 | 0 | 118 |
Q4 00:44 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Julian Strawther makes two point running dunk
Q4 00:49 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 De'Aaron Fox misses three point running jump shot
Q4 1:06 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets turnover
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point running dunk
128-118
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point running jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
David Roddy offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-118
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-118
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-118
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Nuggets turnover
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-118
Nuggets personal foul
Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
Nuggets personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-118
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-118
Nuggets personal foul
Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-118
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-118
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-118
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-118
Nuggets personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+1
David Roddy makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-118
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
Spurs personal foul
David Roddy offensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-118
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
David Roddy defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
111-102
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
128-118
David Roddy defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
David Roddy offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
David Roddy misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
107-100
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
David Roddy defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Nuggets turnover
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-118
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
103-95
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-118
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
126-118
Spurs personal foul
Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 2 of 3
126-118
+1
Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 3 of 3
126-118
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-118
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
126-118
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-118
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
DaRon Holmes II turnover
DaRon Holmes II blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point pullup jump shot
96-85
DaRon Holmes II misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-118
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
DaRon Holmes II blocks Carter Bryant's two point driving layup
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-118
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
David Roddy defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, DaRon Holmes II, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Harrison Barnes misses two point driving hook shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-118
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-118
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point floating jump shot
90-76
Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-118
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-118
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
126-118
Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-118
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Carter Bryant makes two point jump shot
86-71
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tyus Jones defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
111-102
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving layup
86-71
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
111-102
Tyus Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
78-65
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-95
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-95
Devin Vassell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tyus Jones defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
103-95
Tyus Jones offensive rebound
Tyus Jones misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
96-85
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point tip layup
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
96-85
Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
96-85
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
86-71
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
86-71
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
72-56
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tyus Jones, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point pullup jump shot
70-56
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot (David Roddy assists)
75-63
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-63
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Mason Plumlee offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-63
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-71
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-71
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Mason Plumlee, Jordan McLaughlin)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
70-56
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-56
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
63-43
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-56
David Roddy offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-56
David Roddy defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-56
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-56
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Curtis Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-56
Curtis Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
70-56
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Julian Champagnie)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, David Roddy, Tyus Jones, Curtis Jones, Bruce Brown)
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses two point jump shot
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
51-40
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
David Roddy defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Curtis Jones personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
49-40
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
47-40
Curtis Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
44-40
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
41-40
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
41-37
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
39-37
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
39-34
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-34
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-34
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving layup (Stephon Castle assists)
35-34
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Carter Bryant blocks Curtis Jones's two point layup
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, David Roddy, DaRon Holmes II, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Devin Vassell turnover (lost ball)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Nuggets vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Spurs
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +376, Spurs -365
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 23%
- Spurs: 77%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 113-122 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 23%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
