Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction: New York to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 4 of ECF 2026
NBA
Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Warriors NBA game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
103
Apr 10, 2AM Chase Center
Apr 10, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 28 | 25 | 29 | 37 | 119 |
Warriors | 23 | 26 | 24 | 30 | 103 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 28 | 25 | 29 | 37 | 119 |
Warriors | 23 | 26 | 24 | 30 | 103 |
Q4 00:08 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:30 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
119-103
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
119-101
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
116-101
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
116-98
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
116-96
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
116-93
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
114-93
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
114-91
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-90
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-91
Seth Curry defensive rebound
Kobe Bufkin misses three point jump shot
Drew Timme defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers personal foul
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Adou Thiero, Bronny James, Dalton Knecht, Kobe Bufkin)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
112-89
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
112-87
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Nick Smith Jr., Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Bronny James)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
109-87
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
109-84
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-84
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Nick Smith Jr., Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Luke Kennard)
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-82
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-81
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
106-79
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
103-79
Warriors turnover
Nate Williams misses two point layup
LeBron James defensive rebound
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
101-79
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-79
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons, Seth Curry)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
98-77
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-77
Lakers personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
95-75
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
92-75
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-75
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
90-73
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
88-73
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons)
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
86-73
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-73
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Nick Smith Jr., Jake LaRavia, Luke Kennard, LeBron James)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons, Seth Curry)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Seth Curry)
Lakers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-73
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-70
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-71
Lakers lineup change (Nick Smith Jr., Bronny James, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-69
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
82-67
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-67
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-65
Warriors 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Nick Smith Jr., Bronny James, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons)
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
77-65
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-65
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-64
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-65
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons, Seth Curry)
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-63
Lakers 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Seth Curry)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Bronny James, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
73-61
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
71-61
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
71-58
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-57
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry)
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-58
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
69-56
Lakers misses two point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-55
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-56
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Deandre Ayton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-54
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
Deandre Ayton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-54
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
65-54
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
62-54
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
62-51
Warriors personal foul
Rui Hachimura misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
60-51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-51
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
58-49
Warriors turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
55-49
Warriors turnover
End of 1st Half.
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-49
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-47
Lakers violation
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
53-45
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
51-45
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
51-43
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes technical free throw 1 of 1
49-43
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
48-43
Lakers turnover
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Bronny James, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
48-41
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
48-39
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
46-39
LJ Cryer turnover (bad pass)
Bronny James turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
44-39
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Luke Kennard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
41-39
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Bronny James, Deandre Ayton)
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-39
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
40-37
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-37
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Lakers violation
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Bronny James, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons)
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Bronny James, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
38-35
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
35-35
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
33-35
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
31-35
Lakers turnover
LeBron James defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Adou Thiero, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
31-32
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-32
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Adou Thiero, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton)
Lakers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-30
Seth Curry offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Seth Curry makes technical free throw 1 of 1
28-28
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Adou Thiero, Maxi Kleber, Luke Kennard, LeBron James)
Lakers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-27
Lakers turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-25
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Adou Thiero, Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, LeBron James)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
28-23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
25-23
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
25-20
Warriors turnover
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-20
Lakers 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey, Malevy Leons)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, Bronny James, LeBron James)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
23-17
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
20-17
Lakers turnover
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Maxi Kleber, Bronny James, Luke Kennard)
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, Maxi Kleber, Bronny James, Luke Kennard)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Charles Bassey)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
20-14
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
18-14
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | D. Knecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 1 | A. Thiero | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | B. James | 10 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 17 | D. Timme | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| G | 18 | K. Bufkin | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 33 | M. Leons | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| C-F | 28 | C. Bassey | 12 | 13 | 1 |
| F | 61 | P. Spencer | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| F | 19 | N. Williams | 17 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 31 | S. Curry | 11 | 2 | 0 |
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Lakers vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers +111, Warriors -108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 43%
- Warriors: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 110-111 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 43%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Chase Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
